arXiv:2409.00052eess.SPcs.LG2024-09被引 20

用AI动态检测光伏系统故障,准确率超92%。

AI-Powered Dynamic Fault Detection and Performance Assessment in Photovoltaic Systems

  • 用神经网络分析气象与电学数据,实时识别异常
  • 故障检测平均准确率达82.2%,最高达92.6%
  • 无需专用设备,可自动量化发电损失

光伏能源受天气影响波动大,导致10%-70%的功率损失,平均发电量下降25%。准确评估损失并检测故障对系统性能至关重要。当前建模方法僵化,传统检测手段成本高且结果不可靠。本文基于Python的PVlib库构建计算模型,结合动态损失量化算法,处理气象、运行与技术数据。采用五分钟分辨率的合成数据训练人工神经网络(ANN),模拟真实故障。基于安德斯大学光伏系统历史数据定义动态阈值。关键成果包括:(i) 日发电量预测均方误差仅6.0%;(ii) 无需专用设备实现动态损失量化;(iii) AI算法可估计技术参数,避免使用特殊监测装置;(iv) 故障检测模型平均准确率82.2%,最高达92.6%。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

The intermittent nature of photovoltaic (PV) solar energy, driven by variable weather, leads to power losses of 10-70% and an average energy production decrease of 25%. Accurate loss characterization and fault detection are crucial for reliable PV system performance and efficiency, integrating this data into control signal monitoring systems. Computational modeling of PV systems supports technological, economic, and performance analyses, but current models are often rigid, limiting advanced performance optimization and innovation. Conventional fault detection strategies are costly and often yield unreliable results due to complex data signal profiles. Artificial intelligence (AI), especially machine learning algorithms, offers improved fault detection by analyzing relationships between input parameters (e.g., meteorological and electrical) and output metrics (e.g., production). Once trained, these models can effectively identify faults by detecting deviations from expected performance. This research presents a computational model using the PVlib library in Python, incorporating a dynamic loss quantification algorithm that processes meteorological, operational, and technical data. An artificial neural network (ANN) trained on synthetic datasets with a five-minute resolution simulates real-world PV system faults. A dynamic threshold definition for fault detection is based on historical data from a PV system at Universidad de los Andes. Key contributions include: (i) a PV system model with a mean absolute error of 6.0% in daily energy estimation; (ii) dynamic loss quantification without specialized equipment; (iii) an AI-based algorithm for technical parameter estimation, avoiding special monitoring devices; and (iv) a fault detection model achieving 82.2% mean accuracy and 92.6% maximum accuracy.

光伏系统AI检测故障诊断动态阈值

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