arXiv:2409.00107eess.SYcs.AI2024-09被引 2

用混合均场方法模拟多个分布式能源聚合商如何影响电力市场电价。

Evaluating the Impact of Multiple DER Aggregators on Wholesale Energy Markets: A Hybrid Mean Field Approach

  • 通过均场博弈与控制结合,让聚合商基于市场平均行为预测长期电价。
  • 含储能的场景下,电价波动显著降低,市场更稳定。
  • 适合关注电力市场机制设计与分布式能源聚合的学者和从业者。

分布式能源资源(DERs)如光伏和储能设备的普及,为批发市场带来了灵活性提升和效率优化的潜力。本文研究多个DER聚合商参与批发市场的场景,每个聚合商代表一组分布式资源进行投标。关键在于捕捉市场交互的重复性以及参与者随时间学习适应的能力:聚合商反复与其他供应商互动,共同决定节点边际电价(LMP)。我们采用混合均场游戏(MFG)建模多智能体动态,利用市场平均行为信息预测长期电价趋势,并据此制定决策。针对每个聚合商控制其资产组合的实际情况,采用均场控制(MFC)方法学习最优策略以最大化所管理资源的总收益。同时提出基于强化学习的方法,使各主体在MFG框架内持续优化策略,增强对市场不确定性的适应能力。数值仿真表明,该混合均场方法下电价迅速收敛至稳态;且相比无储能情形,储能与均场学习结合可显著降低价格波动。结果验证了该方法在提升市场稳定性方面的有效性。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

The integration of distributed energy resources (DERs) into wholesale energy markets can greatly enhance grid flexibility, improve market efficiency, and contribute to a more sustainable energy future. As DERs -- such as solar PV panels and energy storage -- proliferate, effective mechanisms are needed to ensure that small prosumers can participate meaningfully in these markets. We study a wholesale market model featuring multiple DER aggregators, each controlling a portfolio of DER resources and bidding into the market on behalf of the DER asset owners. The key of our approach lies in recognizing the repeated nature of market interactions the ability of participants to learn and adapt over time. Specifically, Aggregators repeatedly interact with each other and with other suppliers in the wholesale market, collectively shaping wholesale electricity prices (aka the locational marginal prices (LMPs)). We model this multi-agent interaction using a mean-field game (MFG), which uses market information -- reflecting the average behavior of market participants -- to enable each aggregator to predict long-term LMP trends and make informed decisions. For each aggregator, because they control the DERs within their portfolio under certain contract structures, we employ a mean-field control (MFC) approach (as opposed to a MFG) to learn an optimal policy that maximizes the total rewards of the DERs under their management. We also propose a reinforcement learning (RL)-based method to help each agent learn optimal strategies within the MFG framework, enhancing their ability to adapt to market conditions and uncertainties. Numerical simulations show that LMPs quickly reach a steady state in the hybrid mean-field approach. Furthermore, our results demonstrate that the combination of energy storage and mean-field learning significantly reduces price volatility compared to scenarios without storage.

电力市场均场理论分布式能源强化学习

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