用拓扑分块+物理约束,提升稀疏观测下动态系统预测精度
Dynamical system prediction from sparse observations using deep neural networks with Voronoi tessellation and physics constraint
- 基于沃罗诺伊剖分处理不规则稀疏数据,融合卷积与长短期记忆网络
- 在真实海表和浅水系统上实现高精度、低延迟的时序预测
- 融合物理规律训练,适合需长期稳定预测的科学建模场景
尽管已有多种方法解决动态系统稀疏观测下的空间重建问题,但对稀疏场的时空预测仍是挑战。现有基于克里金插值的框架在非线性动态预测中难以满足精度与推理速度要求。本文提出基于沃罗诺伊剖分的动态系统稀疏观测预测框架(DSOVT),结合卷积编码器-解码器(CED)与长短期记忆(LSTM)网络,采用卷积长短期记忆(ConvLSTM)结构。通过将沃罗诺伊剖分与时空深度学习模型融合,DSOVT能有效处理非结构化、稀疏且随时间变化的观测数据。CED-LSTM将剖分结果映射为低维表示用于时序预测,而ConvLSTM则直接以剖分为输入进行端到端建模。此外,在具有显式公式动力学的系统中引入物理约束训练。相比纯数据驱动模型,该物理引导方法可学习显式动力学中的物理规律,显著提升滚动预测的鲁棒性与准确性。在真实海表面数据和浅水系统上的数值实验表明,该框架在稀疏且时变观测下具备高精度与计算效率。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Despite the success of various methods in addressing the issue of spatial reconstruction of dynamical systems with sparse observations, spatio-temporal prediction for sparse fields remains a challenge. Existing Kriging-based frameworks for spatio-temporal sparse field prediction fail to meet the accuracy and inference time required for nonlinear dynamic prediction problems. In this paper, we introduce the Dynamical System Prediction from Sparse Observations using Voronoi Tessellation (DSOVT) framework, an innovative methodology based on Voronoi tessellation which combines convolutional encoder-decoder (CED) and long short-term memory (LSTM) and utilizing Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory (ConvLSTM). By integrating Voronoi tessellations with spatio-temporal deep learning models, DSOVT is adept at predicting dynamical systems with unstructured, sparse, and time-varying observations. CED-LSTM maps Voronoi tessellations into a low-dimensional representation for time series prediction, while ConvLSTM directly uses these tessellations in an end-to-end predictive model. Furthermore, we incorporate physics constraints during the training process for dynamical systems with explicit formulas. Compared to purely data-driven models, our physics-based approach enables the model to learn physical laws within explicitly formulated dynamics, thereby enhancing the robustness and accuracy of rolling forecasts. Numerical experiments on real sea surface data and shallow water systems clearly demonstrate our framework's accuracy and computational efficiency with sparse and time-varying observations.
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