arXiv:2409.00641cs.RO2024-09被引 5

用概率模型预测火星车行进时的打滑,提升导航安全性。

Deep Probabilistic Traversability with Test-time Adaptation for Uncertainty-aware Planetary Rover Navigation

  • 构建端到端概率模型,直接从地形外观和几何预测打滑分布。
  • 在新环境中路径规划更鲁棒,相比现有方法减少打滑风险。
  • 支持现场自适应,用实际行驶经验降低预测误差,适合深空探测任务。

可变形地形的可通行性评估对行星表面安全导航至关重要。机器学习虽能有效预测可通行性,但存在预测不确定性,易引发车轮打滑甚至被困。为此,本文将不确定性量化、利用与自适应三大方法整合进统一的学习与规划框架。核心是提出「深度概率可通行性」,构建端到端概率模型,直接从巡视器行进观测中预测打滑分布。该模型量化打滑预测不确定性,并将其作为路径规划中的可通行性代价。其端到端特性还允许基于现场行驶经验对预训练模型进行自适应,以降低不确定性。我们在模拟行星类地形的合成环境中开展大量仿真,结果表明,本方法在新环境条件下比现有方法具有更鲁棒的路径规划能力。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Traversability assessment of deformable terrain is vital for safe rover navigation on planetary surfaces. Machine learning (ML) is a powerful tool for traversability prediction but faces predictive uncertainty. This uncertainty leads to prediction errors, increasing the risk of wheel slips and immobilization for planetary rovers. To address this issue, we integrate principal approaches to uncertainty handling -- quantification, exploitation, and adaptation -- into a single learning and planning framework for rover navigation. The key concept is \emph{deep probabilistic traversability}, forming the basis of an end-to-end probabilistic ML model that predicts slip distributions directly from rover traverse observations. This probabilistic model quantifies uncertainties in slip prediction and exploits them as traversability costs in path planning. Its end-to-end nature also allows adaptation of pre-trained models with in-situ traverse experience to reduce uncertainties. We perform extensive simulations in synthetic environments that pose representative uncertainties in planetary analog terrains. Experimental results show that our method achieves more robust path planning under novel environmental conditions than existing approaches.

行星导航概率建模自适应

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