用归一化流模型加速多源宇宙学数据联合分析。
$\mathtt{emuflow}$: Normalising Flows for Joint Cosmological Analysis
- 用归一化流拟合单个实验的宇宙学后验分布。
- 联合分析时仅需处理共同参数,计算效率提升显著。
- 公开模型与工具,适用于各类宇宙学参数推断任务。
随着天文观测数据在种类和精度上的增长,最优的宇宙学约束通常需要融合多个实验的数据。在似然层面联合分析时,需对描述各实验数据的大维度参数模型进行边缘化,包括少量感兴趣的宇宙学参数和大量'干扰'参数。直接采样联合参数空间计算开销巨大。本文提出通过归一化流模拟先前实验的边缘后验分布,从而实现仅依赖共同宇宙学参数的高效采样。训练后的归一化流模型可避免参数空间维度增加,快速融合独立数据集的约束。结果表明,该方法能准确刻画真实宇宙学数据的后验分布及多数据集联合分布,即使存在显著张力。联合约束的获取时间远低于传统似然级联合分析。我们为一组通用的公开宇宙学数据集构建了归一化流模型,并公开配套训练与推理软件。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Given the growth in the variety and precision of astronomical datasets of interest for cosmology, the best cosmological constraints are invariably obtained by combining data from different experiments. At the likelihood level, one complication in doing so is the need to marginalise over large-dimensional parameter models describing the data of each experiment. These include both the relatively small number of cosmological parameters of interest and a large number of "nuisance" parameters. Sampling over the joint parameter space for multiple experiments can thus become a very computationally expensive operation. This can be significantly simplified if one could sample directly from the marginal cosmological posterior distribution of preceding experiments, depending only on the common set of cosmological parameters. In this paper, we show that this can be achieved by emulating marginal posterior distributions via normalising flows. The resulting trained normalising flow models can be used to efficiently combine cosmological constraints from independent datasets without increasing the dimensionality of the parameter space under study. We show that the method is able to accurately describe the posterior distribution of real cosmological datasets, as well as the joint distribution of different datasets, even when significant tension exists between experiments. The resulting joint constraints can be obtained in a fraction of the time it would take to combine the same datasets at the level of their likelihoods. We construct normalising flow models for a set of public cosmological datasets of general interests and make them available, together with the software used to train them, and to exploit them in cosmological parameter inference.
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