arXiv:2409.02128cs.LGcs.AI2024-09被引 1

用神经网络预测煤矿酸性废水生成,省时省钱更准

The Application of Artificial Neural Network Model to Predicting the Acid Mine Drainage from Long-Term Lab Scale Kinetic Test

  • 用83周实验数据训练神经网络,预测酸性废水关键指标
  • 模型对pH、硫酸盐等指标预测准确率极高,综合效率达0.99
  • 适合矿业环保规划与长期监测,替代耗时长的实验室测试

酸性矿山排水(AMD)是煤炭开采中常见的环境问题,由覆岩或废石中硫化物矿物氧化形成。预测酸性物质生成对覆岩管理及采矿后土地利用规划至关重要。传统方法依赖实验室动力学测试,需长达83周且耗用大量化学试剂,成本高、效率低。本研究采用人工神经网络(ANN)模型,基于100%潜在酸性岩石的83周实验室动力学试验数据,预测pH、ORP、电导率、总溶解固体(TDS)、硫酸盐及重金属(Fe、Mn)变化趋势。模型在训练与验证数据上的总体纳什-萨特克利夫效率(NSE)达到0.99,表明其能精准捕捉历史数据中的模式、趋势与周期性,显著提升预测准确性。该方法为未来实现快速、低成本、高精度的AMD预测提供新路径。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Acid mine drainage (AMD) is one of the common environmental problems in the coal mining industry that was formed by the oxidation of sulfide minerals in the overburden or waste rock. The prediction of acid generation through AMD is important to do in overburden management and planning the post-mining land use. One of the methods used to predict AMD is a lab-scale kinetic test to determine the rate of acid formation over time using representative samples in the field. However, this test requires a long-time procedure and large amount of chemical reagents lead to inefficient cost. On the other hand, there is potential for machine learning to learn the pattern behind the lab-scale kinetic test data. This study describes an approach to use artificial neural network (ANN) modeling to predict the result from lab-scale kinetic tests. Various ANN model is used based on 83 weeks experiments of lab-scale kinetic tests with 100\% potential acid-forming rock. The model approaches the monitoring of pH, ORP, conductivity, TDS, sulfate, and heavy metals (Fe and Mn). The overall Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) obtained in this study was 0.99 on training and validation data, indicating a strong correlation and accurate prediction compared to the actual lab-scale kinetic tests data. This show the ANN ability to learn patterns, trends, and seasonality from past data for accurate forecasting, thereby highlighting its significant contribution to solving AMD problems. This research is also expected to establish the foundation for a new approach to predict AMD, with time efficient, accurate, and cost-effectiveness in future applications.

酸性矿山排水神经网络环境预测机器学习

Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品;中文卡片由大模型生成,请以原文为准。