从历史安全协议中提炼AI治理关键经验
Governing dual-use technologies: Case studies of international security agreements and lessons for AI governance
- 对比核、生化等领域的国际协议，分析治理机制
- 提出六项AI治理核心要素：验证、制衡、适应、透明、激励、执行
- 为AI全球治理提供可借鉴的制度设计参考
国际AI治理协议与机构可能在降低先进AI带来的全球安全风险方面发挥重要作用。为指导此类协议与机构的设计，我们对历史与当代国际安全协议进行了案例研究，重点关注双用途技术领域，包括核安全、化学武器、生物安全和出口管制。针对每项协议，我们考察了四个关键方面：(a) 目的，(b) 核心权力，(c) 治理结构，(d) 违规实例。基于这些案例，我们提炼出适用于国际AI协议与治理机构设计的经验教训，重点讨论了强验证方法的重要性、国家间权力平衡策略、应对快速技术变革的机制、透明度与安全性之间的权衡管理方式、参与激励措施以及有效的执行机制。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
International AI governance agreements and institutions may play an important role in reducing global security risks from advanced AI. To inform the design of such agreements and institutions, we conducted case studies of historical and contemporary international security agreements. We focused specifically on those arrangements around dual-use technologies, examining agreements in nuclear security, chemical weapons, biosecurity, and export controls. For each agreement, we examined four key areas: (a) purpose, (b) core powers, (c) governance structure, and (d) instances of non-compliance. From these case studies, we extracted lessons for the design of international AI agreements and governance institutions. We discuss the importance of robust verification methods, strategies for balancing power between nations, mechanisms for adapting to rapid technological change, approaches to managing trade-offs between transparency and security, incentives for participation, and effective enforcement mechanisms.
Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品；中文卡片由大模型生成，请以原文为准。