多目标学习让新公司更容易进入大模型市场
Safety vs. Performance: How Multi-Objective Learning Reduces Barriers to Market Entry
- 构建多目标回归框架,量化模型安全带来的声誉风险
- 新公司所需数据量远小于老牌企业,降低入场门槛
- 揭示大规模数据下模型性能提升变慢的规律,适合政策与创业研究者
大型语言模型等大规模机器学习模型的新兴市场呈现出市场集中现象,引发对进入壁垒是否不可逾越的担忧。本文从经济与算法双重视角研究此问题,聚焦于一种降低进入壁垒的现象:现有公司若模型安全对齐不足,将面临声誉损失风险,而新公司则可更轻松规避此类风险。为此,我们定义了一个捕捉声誉损害的多目标高维回归框架,并刻画了新公司进入市场所需的最小数据量。结果表明,多目标考量可从根本上降低进入壁垒——新公司所需数据量可显著低于现有公司的数据规模。在证明过程中,我们推导出多目标环境下高维线性回归的缩放规律,发现当数据集规模较大时,性能提升速率会减缓,该结果或具独立研究价值。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Emerging marketplaces for large language models and other large-scale machine learning (ML) models appear to exhibit market concentration, which has raised concerns about whether there are insurmountable barriers to entry in such markets. In this work, we study this issue from both an economic and an algorithmic point of view, focusing on a phenomenon that reduces barriers to entry. Specifically, an incumbent company risks reputational damage unless its model is sufficiently aligned with safety objectives, whereas a new company can more easily avoid reputational damage. To study this issue formally, we define a multi-objective high-dimensional regression framework that captures reputational damage, and we characterize the number of data points that a new company needs to enter the market. Our results demonstrate how multi-objective considerations can fundamentally reduce barriers to entry -- the required number of data points can be significantly smaller than the incumbent company's dataset size. En route to proving these results, we develop scaling laws for high-dimensional linear regression in multi-objective environments, showing that the scaling rate becomes slower when the dataset size is large, which could be of independent interest.
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