arXiv:2409.07645cs.CVcs.AI2024-09综述被引 4

揭示行人意图预测中关键特征与潜在偏差,提出更可靠的评估方法

Feature Importance in Pedestrian Intention Prediction: A Context-Aware Review

  • 基于情景划分的特征重要性评估法,减少随机性干扰
  • 发现行人体框和车辆速度是核心影响因素,速度特征存在偏差风险
  • 提出动态相对运动特征表示,提升模型可解释性与预测能力

近年来,基于计算机视觉与深度神经网络的自动驾驶车辆行人过街意图预测进展迅速。然而,深度神经网络的黑箱特性使得难以理解模型运作机制及输入特征对预测结果的贡献。这种不可解释性限制了对模型性能的信任,阻碍了特征选择、表征与优化的合理决策,进而影响该领域未来研究的成效。为此,本文提出情境感知的置换特征重要性(CAPFI)方法,通过细分场景上下文,针对特定情境进行特征值置换,降低重要性评分的方差并避免偏差估计。将行人意图估计(PIE)数据集划分为16个可比情境组,在每组中测试五种不同神经网络架构的基线性能,并利用CAPFI评估输入特征重要性。结果显示,不同模型在各类情境下表现差异显著;行人体框和自车速度在预测中起关键作用,而速度特征在跨情境置换中暴露出潜在偏差。为此,本文提出考虑相对位置变化率的替代特征表示,以更好刻画行人-车辆动态运动关系,增强输入特征对意图预测的贡献。研究强调了情境特征的重要性及其多样性,对构建准确且鲁棒的意图预测模型具有指导意义。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Recent advancements in predicting pedestrian crossing intentions for Autonomous Vehicles using Computer Vision and Deep Neural Networks are promising. However, the black-box nature of DNNs poses challenges in understanding how the model works and how input features contribute to final predictions. This lack of interpretability delimits the trust in model performance and hinders informed decisions on feature selection, representation, and model optimisation; thereby affecting the efficacy of future research in the field. To address this, we introduce Context-aware Permutation Feature Importance (CAPFI), a novel approach tailored for pedestrian intention prediction. CAPFI enables more interpretability and reliable assessments of feature importance by leveraging subdivided scenario contexts, mitigating the randomness of feature values through targeted shuffling. This aims to reduce variance and prevent biased estimations in importance scores during permutations. We divide the Pedestrian Intention Estimation (PIE) dataset into 16 comparable context sets, measure the baseline performance of five distinct neural network architectures for intention prediction in each context, and assess input feature importance using CAPFI. We observed nuanced differences among models across various contextual characteristics. The research reveals the critical role of pedestrian bounding boxes and ego-vehicle speed in predicting pedestrian intentions, and potential prediction biases due to the speed feature through cross-context permutation evaluation. We propose an alternative feature representation by considering proximity change rate for rendering dynamic pedestrian-vehicle locomotion, thereby enhancing the contributions of input features to intention prediction. These findings underscore the importance of contextual features and their diversity to develop accurate and robust intent-predictive models.

意图预测可解释性特征重要性自动驾驶

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