政治幽默剧中的提问顺序影响答案,量子概率或可解释这一认知现象。
Yes, Prime Minister, question order does matter -- and it's certainly not classical! But is it quantum?
- 用量子概率框架建模提问顺序对回答的影响
- 实测数据无法完全用量子规则解释,但未被排除
- 适合对认知科学与量子模型交叉研究感兴趣的读者
通过一系列引导性问题可操控问卷回答。我们证明此类现象无法用经典概率理论解释,而量子概率理论则提供了可能的解释路径。然而,量子概率的允许变换规则对认知行为建模施加了特定约束。以英国政治讽刺剧《是,大臣》中西蒙·阿普比爵士提出的一组问题为例,基于伊普索斯(Ipsos)开展的近期调查数据,结果显示该现象虽难以完全用量子规则解释,但仍不完全排除。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Response to a poll can be manipulated by means of a series of leading questions. We show that such phenomena cannot be explained by use of classical probability theory, whereas quantum probability theory admits a possibility of offering an explanation. Admissible transformation rules in quantum probability, however, do impose some constraints on the modelling of cognitive behaviour, which are highlighted here. Focusing on a recent poll conducted by Ipsos on a set of questions posed by Sir Humphrey Appleby in an episode of the British political satire \textit{Yes, Prime Minister}, we show that the resulting data cannot be explained quite so simply using quantum rules, although it seems not impossible.
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