用数据模拟驾驶安全监督,证明远程操控可大幅降低人力需求
A Data-Informed Analysis of Scalable Supervision for Safety in Autonomous Vehicle Fleets
- 基于真实交通数据构建仿真框架,分析远程监督的动态需求
- 相比车内监督,远程操控人力需求减少超99%
- 联网自动驾驶车与区域聚合能进一步提升系统可靠性
自动驾驶有望消除道路死亡事故,但安全验证成本高昂。本文研究远程人类操作员对自动驾驶车队进行安全监督的可行性,提出DISCES框架——基于数据驱动的安全关键事件仿真。通过整合加州三县高速公路1,097个汇流点的历史交通数据,采用微观交通重建与排队论模型,分析自动驾驶车辆在混合交通中汇入时的安全监督需求。结果表明,在所有场景下,远程操控相比车内监督可将操作员需求减少超过99%。此外,研究还发现:(i) 使用协同联网的自动驾驶车辆,可使系统可靠性平均提升3.67个数量级;(ii) 跨更大区域的监督聚合能进一步降低需求。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Autonomous driving is a highly anticipated approach toward eliminating roadway fatalities. At the same time, the bar for safety is both high and costly to verify. This work considers the role of remotely-located human operators supervising a fleet of autonomous vehicles (AVs) for safety. Such a 'scalable supervision' concept was previously proposed to bridge the gap between still-maturing autonomy technology and the pressure to begin commercial offerings of autonomous driving. The present article proposes DISCES, a framework for Data-Informed Safety-Critical Event Simulation, to investigate the practicality of this concept from a dynamic network loading standpoint. With a focus on the safety-critical context of AVs merging into mixed-autonomy traffic, vehicular arrival processes at 1,097 highway merge points are modeled using microscopic traffic reconstruction with historical data from interstates across three California counties. Combined with a queuing theoretic model, these results characterize the dynamic supervision requirements and thereby scalability of the teleoperation approach. Across all scenarios we find reductions in operator requirements greater than 99% as compared to in-vehicle supervisors for the time period analyzed. The work also demonstrates two methods for reducing these empirical supervision requirements: (i) the use of cooperative connected AVs -- which are shown to produce an average 3.67 orders-of-magnitude system reliability improvement across the scenarios studied -- and (ii) aggregation across larger regions.
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