用激光高程数据和视觉变压器提升水文预测精度,误差平均降10%。
HydroVision: LiDAR-Guided Hydrometric Prediction with Vision Transformers and Hybrid Graph Learning
- 融合激光高程与视觉变压器捕捉地形特征,构建静态图
- 引入动态图适应时间变化,双图结构提升预测能力
- 在魁北克多个站点验证,长周期预测效果更优
水文预报对水资源管理、洪水预警和环境保护至关重要。水文站点之间存在相互关联,这种关联影响测量结果。然而,水流路径的动态性和隐含性使得难以预先获取连接结构。我们假设地形高程显著影响水流和连接关系。为此,采用通过视觉变压器(ViT)编码的激光雷达(LiDAR)高程数据,高效捕捉地形的空间特征。为同时建模时空特征,使用增强图卷积的门控循环单元(GRU)块。提出一种混合图学习结构:由变换器编码的激光雷达数据生成静态图,刻画地形高程关系;动态图则随时间演化,提升整体图表示能力。通过两层图卷积在静态和动态图上进行传播。方法实现提前最多12天的日级预测。在魁北克多个水文站的实证结果表明,该方法在所有预测日平均误差降低10%,且长期预测改进更显著。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Hydrometric forecasting is crucial for managing water resources, flood prediction, and environmental protection. Water stations are interconnected, and this connectivity influences the measurements at other stations. However, the dynamic and implicit nature of water flow paths makes it challenging to extract a priori knowledge of the connectivity structure. We hypothesize that terrain elevation significantly affects flow and connectivity. To incorporate this, we use LiDAR terrain elevation data encoded through a Vision Transformer (ViT). The ViT, which has demonstrated excellent performance in image classification by directly applying transformers to sequences of image patches, efficiently captures spatial features of terrain elevation. To account for both spatial and temporal features, we employ GRU blocks enhanced with graph convolution, a method widely used in the literature. We propose a hybrid graph learning structure that combines static and dynamic graph learning. A static graph, derived from transformer-encoded LiDAR data, captures terrain elevation relationships, while a dynamic graph adapts to temporal changes, improving the overall graph representation. We apply graph convolution in two layers through these static and dynamic graphs. Our method makes daily predictions up to 12 days ahead. Empirical results from multiple water stations in Quebec demonstrate that our method significantly reduces prediction error by an average of 10\% across all days, with greater improvements for longer forecasting horizons.
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