arXiv:2409.15372cs.AIcs.LG2024-09被引 7

基于模糊规则与实时事件处理,实现心血管病风险的动态预警。

Fuzzy Rule based Intelligent Cardiovascular Disease Prediction using Complex Event Processing

  • 采用临床与世卫标准设计模糊规则,提升预测准确性。
  • 通过流数据处理系统实现实时风险分级,高危识别率达75%。
  • 适合医疗监测系统开发与临床辅助决策场景。

心血管疾病(CVDs)因不健康饮食、缺乏运动等因素正成为全球重大健康威胁。世界卫生组织(WHO)指出,高血压、血糖异常、血脂异常和肥胖是主要风险因素。为降低风险与死亡率,近年来研究聚焦于精准及时的疾病预测,多依赖大规模数据训练的模型,但需大量计算资源。本研究提出一种基于模糊规则的心血管病实时监测系统,通过集成Apache Kafka与Spark进行数据流处理,利用Siddhi CEP引擎实现事件分析。系统依据临床与世卫标准构建模糊规则,对多种心血管相关参数进行实时评估。通过合成数据(1000样本)验证,结果分为“极低风险”(20%)、“低风险”(15%-45%)、“中等风险”(35%-65%)、“高风险”(55%-85%)及“极高风险”(75%),表明该方法在动态风险识别中具有高效性与可靠性。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Cardiovascular disease (CVDs) is a rapidly rising global concern due to unhealthy diets, lack of physical activity, and other factors. According to the World Health Organization (WHO), primary risk factors include elevated blood pressure, glucose, blood lipids, and obesity. Recent research has focused on accurate and timely disease prediction to reduce risk and fatalities, often relying on predictive models trained on large datasets, which require intensive training. An intelligent system for CVDs patients could greatly assist in making informed decisions by effectively analyzing health parameters. Complex Event Processing (CEP) has emerged as a valuable method for solving real-time challenges by aggregating patterns of interest and their causes and effects on end users. In this work, we propose a fuzzy rule-based system for monitoring clinical data to provide real-time decision support. We designed fuzzy rules based on clinical and WHO standards to ensure accurate predictions. Our integrated approach uses Apache Kafka and Spark for data streaming, and the Siddhi CEP engine for event processing. Additionally, we pass numerous cardiovascular disease-related parameters through CEP engines to ensure fast and reliable prediction decisions. To validate the effectiveness of our approach, we simulated real-time, unseen data to predict cardiovascular disease. Using synthetic data (1000 samples), we categorized it into "Very Low Risk, Low Risk, Medium Risk, High Risk, and Very High Risk." Validation results showed that 20% of samples were categorized as very low risk, 15-45% as low risk, 35-65% as medium risk, 55-85% as high risk, and 75% as very high risk.

心血管病模糊逻辑实时处理风险预测

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