融合意图与风险感知,提升复杂交通中轨迹预测准确性。
Intention-based and Risk-Aware Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Driving in Complex Traffic Scenarios
- 构建交互、意图、风险评估三模块联合预测框架。
- 在DeepAccident数据集上,正常与事故场景分别领先28.9%和26.5%。
- 适合关注自动驾驶安全与行为可解释性的研究者使用。
准确预测周围车辆轨迹是自动驾驶的关键挑战。在复杂交通场景中,现有系统存在预测认知不确定性与缺乏风险意识两大问题,制约了自动驾驶的发展。为此,本文提出一种新轨迹预测模型,融合驾驶行为、伦理决策与风险评估原理。基于联合预测,模型包含交互、意图与风险评估模块:交互模块在每个时间戳捕捉车辆间动态交互;基于交互信息,引入车辆主要意图以增强轨迹多样性;优化预测轨迹时遵循先进风险感知决策原则。实验在DeepAccident数据集上进行,所提方法在正常与事故场景下均表现卓越,相比最先进算法分别提升至少28.9%和26.5%。该模型显著提升了复杂交通场景下的轨迹预测鲁棒性与适应性。代码已公开于https://sites.google.com/view/ir-prediction。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Accurately predicting the trajectory of surrounding vehicles is a critical challenge for autonomous vehicles. In complex traffic scenarios, there are two significant issues with the current autonomous driving system: the cognitive uncertainty of prediction and the lack of risk awareness, which limit the further development of autonomous driving. To address this challenge, we introduce a novel trajectory prediction model that incorporates insights and principles from driving behavior, ethical decision-making, and risk assessment. Based on joint prediction, our model consists of interaction, intention, and risk assessment modules. The dynamic variation of interaction between vehicles can be comprehensively captured at each timestamp in the interaction module. Based on interaction information, our model considers primary intentions for vehicles to enhance the diversity of trajectory generation. The optimization of predicted trajectories follows the advanced risk-aware decision-making principles. Experimental results are evaluated on the DeepAccident dataset; our approach shows its remarkable prediction performance on normal and accident scenarios and outperforms the state-of-the-art algorithms by at least 28.9\% and 26.5\%, respectively. The proposed model improves the proficiency and adaptability of trajectory prediction in complex traffic scenarios. The code for the proposed model is available at https://sites.google.com/view/ir-prediction.
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