用Transformer预测光伏最大功率点,精度超99.5%。
Transformer based time series prediction of the maximum power point for solar photovoltaic cells
- 用时序特征建模环境周期变化,提升预测鲁棒性。
- 测试集200小时数据下平均误差0.47%,效率达99.54%。
- 适合需要高精度动态追踪的光伏系统部署。
本文提出一种基于改进深度学习的太阳能光伏电池最大功率点跟踪(MPPT)方法,综合考虑多种时间序列环境输入。传统神经网络算法常使用简单架构和不全面的环境输入。本研究通过多维度环境特征表征地理位置的气候条件,并引入时间特征以捕捉大气条件中的周期性模式,实现对MPPT算法的稳健建模。采用Transformer深度学习架构,以多维时间序列输入进行训练,数据来自50个地点的典型气象年数据点。模型利用注意力机制高效学习时间模式。在包含200小时连续数据的测试集上,非零工作电压点的平均绝对百分比误差为0.47%,平均功率效率达99.54%,峰值效率达99.98%。通过实时仿真验证,该模型在广泛气象条件下实现鲁棒、动态且非隐式的功率点追踪。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
This paper proposes an improved deep learning based maximum power point tracking (MPPT) in solar photovoltaic cells considering various time series based environmental inputs. Generally, artificial neural network based MPPT algorithms use basic neural network architectures and inputs which do not represent the ambient conditions in a comprehensive manner. In this article, the ambient conditions of a location are represented through a comprehensive set of environmental features. Furthermore, the inclusion of time based features in the input data is considered to model cyclic patterns temporally within the atmospheric conditions leading to robust modeling of the MPPT algorithm. A transformer based deep learning architecture is trained as a time series prediction model using multidimensional time series input features. The model is trained on a dataset containing typical meteorological year data points of ambient weather conditions from 50 locations. The attention mechanism in the transformer modules allows the model to learn temporal patterns in the data efficiently. The proposed model achieves a 0.47% mean average percentage error of prediction on non zero operating voltage points in a test dataset consisting of data collected over a period of 200 consecutive hours resulting in the average power efficiency of 99.54% and peak power efficiency of 99.98%. The proposed model is validated through real time simulations. The proposed model performs power point tracking in a robust, dynamic, and nonlatent manner, over a wide range of atmospheric conditions.
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