系统梳理迁移学习在金融预测中的应用与挑战
Transfer learning for financial data predictions: a systematic review
- 系统综述迁移学习在金融时序预测中的方法与实践
- 指出传统模型因线性假设不适用于非线性金融数据
- 适合关注金融AI与迁移学习交叉研究的读者
金融时间序列数据因噪声大且易受新闻影响,给股票价格预测带来挑战。传统统计方法依赖线性与正态性假设,难以适应金融数据的非线性特征;而机器学习,特别是神经网络,能更好捕捉复杂关系。目前神经网络是金融预测的主要工具,但现有综述多聚焦于网络结构,对迁移学习的应用关注不足。本文开展系统性综述,深入分析迁移学习在金融市场预测中的应用现状、面临的挑战及未来发展方向。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Literature highlighted that financial time series data pose significant challenges for accurate stock price prediction, because these data are characterized by noise and susceptibility to news; traditional statistical methodologies made assumptions, such as linearity and normality, which are not suitable for the non-linear nature of financial time series; on the other hand, machine learning methodologies are able to capture non linear relationship in the data. To date, neural network is considered the main machine learning tool for the financial prices prediction. Transfer Learning, as a method aimed at transferring knowledge from source tasks to target tasks, can represent a very useful methodological tool for getting better financial prediction capability. Current reviews on the above body of knowledge are mainly focused on neural network architectures, for financial prediction, with very little emphasis on the transfer learning methodology; thus, this paper is aimed at going deeper on this topic by developing a systematic review with respect to application of Transfer Learning for financial market predictions and to challenges/potential future directions of the transfer learning methodologies for stock market predictions.
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