arXiv:2409.17277cs.ROcs.LG2024-09被引 8

实时检测自动驾驶轨迹预测中的异常场景,提升安全性

Building Real-time Awareness of Out-of-distribution in Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Vehicles

  • 将异常检测建模为变化点问题,利用误差模式差异识别分布外样本
  • 在多个真实数据集上实现高精度实时检测,误报率低
  • 适合用于车载系统实时安全监控,尤其对罕见或突发场景有效

准确的轨迹预测对自动驾驶车辆在真实环境中的安全运行至关重要。即使训练良好的机器学习模型,在推理时也可能因训练数据与实际场景的差异而产生不可靠预测。例如,训练数据常过度覆盖常见场景(如直行车道),却忽略少见场景(如环形交叉口)及突发事件(如急刹车、物体坠落)。为确保安全,必须实时识别模型预测可靠性下降的情况。基于分布内(ID)场景的误差模式与训练数据相似、而分布外(OOD)场景则不同这一直觉,我们提出一种原则性、实时的OOD检测方法,将其建模为变化点检测问题。针对难以通过人类直觉察觉的欺骗性OOD场景,设计轻量级解决方案,可应对任意时刻发生的分布外情况。在多个真实数据集上,使用基准轨迹预测模型验证了方法的有效性。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Accurate trajectory prediction is essential for the safe operation of autonomous vehicles in real-world environments. Even well-trained machine learning models may produce unreliable predictions due to discrepancies between training data and real-world conditions encountered during inference. In particular, the training dataset tends to overrepresent common scenes (e.g., straight lanes) while underrepresenting less frequent ones (e.g., traffic circles). In addition, it often overlooks unpredictable real-world events such as sudden braking or falling objects. To ensure safety, it is critical to detect in real-time when a model's predictions become unreliable. Leveraging the intuition that in-distribution (ID) scenes exhibit error patterns similar to training data, while out-of-distribution (OOD) scenes do not, we introduce a principled, real-time approach for OOD detection by framing it as a change-point detection problem. We address the challenging settings where the OOD scenes are deceptive, meaning that they are not easily detectable by human intuitions. Our lightweight solutions can handle the occurrence of OOD at any time during trajectory prediction inference. Experimental results on multiple real-world datasets using a benchmark trajectory prediction model demonstrate the effectiveness of our methods.

自动驾驶轨迹预测异常检测实时系统

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