arXiv:2409.17931cs.LGcs.AI2024-09被引 1

用可解释AI预测电池剩余寿命,实现智能充电决策

Remaining Useful Life Prediction for Batteries Utilizing an Explainable AI Approach with a Predictive Application for Decision-Making

  • 构建两级集成学习框架与CNN+MLP混合模型预测寿命
  • TLE模型在RMSE、MAE上优于基线,分类准确率达99%
  • 通过SHAP分析揭示充放电次数和参数最关键,适合运维人员

准确估计电池剩余使用寿命(RUL)对判断其寿命和充电需求至关重要。本文构建基于机器学习的RUL预测与分类模型,提出两级集成学习(TLE)框架与CNN+MLP混合模型,并与传统、深度及混合模型对比。评估涵盖预测与分类性能,结合SHAP方法实现可解释性分析。TLE模型在均方根误差(RMSE)、平均绝对误差(MAE)和决定系数(R²)上持续优于基线模型,展现出更强预测能力;XGBoost分类器经交叉验证达99%准确率。模型能有效预测继电器充电触发点,实现自动化、节能充电。该方案降低能耗,优化充电周期,提升电池性能。SHAP分析表明,循环次数与充电参数是影响RUL的关键因素。为提升实用性,开发基于Tkinter的实时交互界面,支持用户输入新数据并即时预测RUL。此系统推动数据驱动的电池管理,助力可持续能源利用与智能决策。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Accurately estimating the Remaining Useful Life (RUL) of a battery is essential for determining its lifespan and recharge requirements. In this work, we develop machine learning-based models to predict and classify battery RUL. We introduce a two-level ensemble learning (TLE) framework and a CNN+MLP hybrid model for RUL prediction, comparing their performance against traditional, deep, and hybrid machine learning models. Our analysis evaluates various models for both prediction and classification while incorporating interpretability through SHAP. The proposed TLE model consistently outperforms baseline models in RMSE, MAE, and R squared error, demonstrating its superior predictive capabilities. Additionally, the XGBoost classifier achieves an impressive 99% classification accuracy, validated through cross-validation techniques. The models effectively predict relay-based charging triggers, enabling automated and energy-efficient charging processes. This automation reduces energy consumption and enhances battery performance by optimizing charging cycles. SHAP interpretability analysis highlights the cycle index and charging parameters as the most critical factors influencing RUL. To improve accessibility, we developed a Tkinter-based GUI that allows users to input new data and predict RUL in real time. This practical solution supports sustainable battery management by enabling data-driven decisions about battery usage and maintenance, contributing to energy-efficient and innovative battery life prediction.

电池寿命可解释AI智能充电机器学习

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