arXiv:2409.18168cs.LG2024-09被引 2

融合跳跃扩散与迁移学习,提升数据稀缺下的美式期权定价精度

Jump Diffusion-Informed Neural Networks with Transfer Learning for Accurate American Option Pricing under Data Scarcity

  • 用跳跃扩散物理约束神经网络建模资产价格突变特征
  • 通过迁移学习和数值增强,在少数据下仍保持高精度
  • 特别擅长定价深度虚值期权,适合金融工程与量化交易场景

期权定价在金融数学与风险管理中至关重要,近年来人工智能方法推动了其发展。然而,美式期权定价因需确定最优行权时机及处理随机路径带来的非线性收益而极具挑战。现有混合模型普遍依赖黑-斯科尔斯公式,难以准确捕捉价格过程的不连续性,尤其在数据稀缺时性能受限。为此,本文提出一个包含六个相互关联模块的综合框架,整合非线性优化算法、解析与数值模型及神经网络以提升定价性能。为应对数据稀缺问题,该框架结合迁移学习与数值数据增强,并引入受跳跃扩散过程物理约束的神经网络,有效捕捉对数收益率分布的尖峰厚尾特性。为提升训练效率,设计基于贝叶斯优化的预热阶段,自动调节数据损失与物理损失权重。六组案例实验表明,该框架具备高精度、快速收敛、良好的物理一致性与泛化能力。尤其在定价深度虚值期权方面表现显著优于对比模型。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Option pricing models, essential in financial mathematics and risk management, have been extensively studied and recently advanced by AI methodologies. However, American option pricing remains challenging due to the complexity of determining optimal exercise times and modeling non-linear payoffs resulting from stochastic paths. Moreover, the prevalent use of the Black-Scholes formula in hybrid models fails to accurately capture the discontinuity in the price process, limiting model performance, especially under scarce data conditions. To address these issues, this study presents a comprehensive framework for American option pricing consisting of six interrelated modules, which combine nonlinear optimization algorithms, analytical and numerical models, and neural networks to improve pricing performance. Additionally, to handle the scarce data challenge, this framework integrates the transfer learning through numerical data augmentation and a physically constrained, jump diffusion process-informed neural network to capture the leptokurtosis of the log return distribution. To increase training efficiency, a warm-up period using Bayesian optimization is designed to provide optimal data loss and physical loss coefficients. Experimental results of six case studies demonstrate the accuracy, convergence, physical effectiveness, and generalization of the framework. Moreover, the proposed model shows superior performance in pricing deep out-of-the-money options.

期权定价神经网络迁移学习金融建模

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