arXiv:2410.03552q-fin.GNcs.AI2024-10中稿 · publication to the…被引 2

用市场模型评估拉美AI初创企业投资潜力,给出风险应对策略。

Evaluating Investment Risks in LATAM AI Startups: Ranking of Investment Potential and Framework for Valuation

  • 基于TAM/SAM/SOM构建拉美外卖行业估值框架
  • 识别阿根廷、哥伦比亚等六国为高潜力投资区域
  • 适合关注新兴市场、想分散风险的投资者

拉丁美洲(LATAM)科技创业生态正由创新创业者驱动,在多个领域满足市场需求。然而,这些初创企业面临独特挑战与风险,需采用特定管理方式。本文以拉美在线食品配送行业为例,运用总可及市场(TAM)、可服务市场(SAM)和可获取市场(SOM)指标,结合折现现金流(DCF)方法建立初创企业估值模型。通过分析阿根廷、哥伦比亚、乌拉圭、哥斯达黎加、巴拿马和厄瓜多尔等新兴力量,研究揭示了该地区人工智能驱动型初创企业的潜力与盈利能力,并提出拉美科技初创投资潜力排名。论文还探讨了初创企业面临的政经与竞争风险,提供风险缓解策略以提升投资回报。研究强调,将新兴市场初创企业纳入投资组合可实现显著增长与收益,尽管存在固有风险。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

The growth of the tech startup ecosystem in Latin America (LATAM) is driven by innovative entrepreneurs addressing market needs across various sectors. However, these startups encounter unique challenges and risks that require specific management approaches. This paper explores a case study with the Total Addressable Market (TAM), Serviceable Available Market (SAM), and Serviceable Obtainable Market (SOM) metrics within the context of the online food delivery industry in LATAM, serving as a model for valuing startups using the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) method. By analyzing key emerging powers such as Argentina, Colombia, Uruguay, Costa Rica, Panama, and Ecuador, the study highlights the potential and profitability of AI-driven startups in the region through the development of a ranking of emerging powers in Latin America for tech startup investment. The paper also examines the political, economic, and competitive risks faced by startups and offers strategic insights on mitigating these risks to maximize investment returns. Furthermore, the research underscores the value of diversifying investment portfolios with startups in emerging markets, emphasizing the opportunities for substantial growth and returns despite inherent risks.

AI创业拉美市场估值模型风险评估

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