人类更倾向契约主义而非功利主义的决策方式。
Intuitions of Compromise: Utilitarianism vs. Contractualism
- 用纳什乘积模拟契约共识,替代传统功利总和
- 多数人偏好契约主义推荐的方案,而非功利主义
- 大语言模型与人类偏好存在显著差异
当不同个体对事物价值判断不同时,如何达成最佳妥协?目前最广泛接受的方法是将各选项的效用相加,选择总和最大的方案——即功利主义方法。然而,一种常被忽视的替代方案是契约主义,主张基于各方同意来决策。本文首次通过实证研究,系统比较了功利主义(效用总和)与契约主义(纳什乘积)在群体偏好聚合中的直观合理性。结果表明,尽管功利主义长期主导价值整合,但人们普遍更倾向于契约主义算法推荐的解决方案。此外,我们对比了大型语言模型(LLMs)与人类参与者的判断,发现两者在偏好上存在显著不一致。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
What is the best compromise in a situation where different people value different things? The most commonly accepted method for answering this question -- in fields across the behavioral and social sciences, decision theory, philosophy, and artificial intelligence development -- is simply to add up utilities associated with the different options and pick the solution with the largest sum. This ``utilitarian'' approach seems like the obvious, theory-neutral way of approaching the problem. But there is an important, though often-ignored, alternative: a ``contractualist'' approach, which advocates for an agreement-driven method of deciding. Remarkably, no research has presented empirical evidence directly comparing the intuitive plausibility of these two approaches. In this paper, we systematically explore the proposals suggested by each algorithm (the ``Utilitarian Sum'' and the contractualist ''Nash Product''), using a paradigm that applies those algorithms to aggregating preferences across groups in a social decision-making context. While the dominant approach to value aggregation up to now has been utilitarian, we find that people strongly prefer the aggregations recommended by the contractualist algorithm. Finally, we compare the judgments of large language models (LLMs) to that of our (human) participants, finding important misalignment between model and human preferences.
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