用少量数据精准分类格陵兰冰盖融水湖的演化类型。
Time Series Classification of Supraglacial Lakes Evolution over Greenland Ice Sheet
- 基于重构相空间与高斯混合模型,从时序卫星数据中识别湖的演化模式。
- 仅用每类一个样本训练,准确率达85.46%(单源)至89.70%(双源融合)。
- 适合关注极地冰盖变化、缺乏标注数据的研究者使用。
格陵兰冰盖(GrIS)正因融水径流增加而成为海平面上升的重要贡献者。夏季形成的冰面湖可影响冰盖动力学与质量损失,因此理解其季节演化至关重要。本研究提出一种计算高效的时间序列分类方法:利用重构相空间(RPS)的高斯混合模型(GMM)识别三类冰面湖——融季末重新冻结、融季中排水、以及被埋藏并保持液态的湖。该方法基于哨兵-1(Sentinel-1,微波)和哨兵-2(Sentinel-2,可见光)卫星的时序数据。在格陵兰全域数据集上,仅需每类一个代表性样本进行训练,模型在仅使用哨兵-1数据时达到85.46%准确率,结合两者则达89.70%,显著优于依赖大量训练数据的传统机器学习与深度学习模型。结果表明,RPS-GMM能以极少数据有效捕捉冰面湖复杂的动态特征。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
The Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) has emerged as a significant contributor to global sea level rise, primarily due to increased meltwater runoff. Supraglacial lakes, which form on the ice sheet surface during the summer months, can impact ice sheet dynamics and mass loss; thus, better understanding these lakes' seasonal evolution and dynamics is an important task. This study presents a computationally efficient time series classification approach that uses Gaussian Mixture Models (GMMs) of the Reconstructed Phase Spaces (RPSs) to identify supraglacial lakes based on their seasonal evolution: 1) those that refreeze at the end of the melt season, 2) those that drain during the melt season, and 3) those that become buried, remaining liquid insulated a few meters beneath the surface. Our approach uses time series data from the Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 satellites, which utilize microwave and visible radiation, respectively. Evaluated on a GrIS-wide dataset, the RPS-GMM model, trained on a single representative sample per class, achieves 85.46% accuracy with Sentinel-1 data alone and 89.70% with combined Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 data. This performance significantly surpasses existing machine learning and deep learning models which require a large training data. The results demonstrate the robustness of the RPS-GMM model in capturing the complex temporal dynamics of supraglacial lakes with minimal training data.
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