arXiv:2410.05916cs.LG2024-10被引 2

用双向Mamba块和扩散模型提升多变量时间序列插补效果

TIMBA: Time series Imputation with Bi-directional Mamba Blocks and Diffusion models

  • 用Mamba块替代Transformer,更好捕捉时序依赖
  • 在三个真实数据集上表现优于或接近现有最佳方法
  • 适合处理缺失率变化、需高精度插补的时序任务

多变量时间序列插补广泛应用于临床医疗与多传感器系统。早期使用循环神经网络(RNN),但存在误差累积问题;随后引入基于注意力机制的Transformer以缓解。近期,扩散模型因能有效捕捉原始分布而备受关注,常与Transformer结合。本文提出用状态空间模型(SSM)替代时间导向的Transformer,采用最新SSM变体S6,其具备类似注意力的机制。通过将S6嵌入Mamba块,构建融合SSM、图神经网络与节点导向Transformer的模型,实现更优的时空表征。该架构在多变量时间序列插补中首次被探索。实验表明,TIMBA在几乎所有基准场景下表现优异,多数情况下超越现有方法,在不同缺失模式和三个真实数据集上均具强鲁棒性。我们还评估了模型在不同缺失比例下的表现,并分析其在下游任务中的有效性。代码已公开。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

The problem of imputing multivariate time series spans a wide range of fields, from clinical healthcare to multi-sensor systems. Initially, Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) were employed for this task; however, their error accumulation issues led to the adoption of Transformers, leveraging attention mechanisms to mitigate these problems. Concurrently, the promising results of diffusion models in capturing original distributions have positioned them at the forefront of current research, often in conjunction with Transformers. In this paper, we propose replacing time-oriented Transformers with State-Space Models (SSM), which are better suited for temporal data modeling. Specifically, we utilize the latest SSM variant, S6, which incorporates attention-like mechanisms. By embedding S6 within Mamba blocks, we develop a model that integrates SSM, Graph Neural Networks, and node-oriented Transformers to achieve enhanced spatiotemporal representations. Implementing these architectural modifications, previously unexplored in this field, we present Time series Imputation with Bi-directional mamba blocks and diffusion models (TIMBA). TIMBA achieves superior performance in almost all benchmark scenarios and performs comparably in others across a diverse range of missing value situations and three real-world datasets. We also evaluate how the performance of our model varies with different amounts of missing values and analyse its performance on downstream tasks. In addition, we provide the original code to replicate the results.

时间序列插补Mamba扩散模型

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