arXiv:2410.08218eess.IVcs.CV2024-10被引 4

仅用卫星图像自动检测北印度洋气旋并估测强度

A Visual-Analytical Approach for Automatic Detection of Cyclonic Events in Satellite Observations

  • 两阶段方法:先定位气旋,再基于中心图像估强
  • 采用CNN-LSTM模型,融合时空特征提升预测精度
  • 相比传统物理模型更快,适合实时灾害预警

估算热带气旋的位置与强度对预测灾害性天气至关重要。本研究将该任务视为检测与回归问题,聚焦于北印度洋(NIO)区域,以最佳路径位置和风速信息作为标签。当前气旋检测与强度估计依赖耗时的物理模拟,而仅使用图像特征可实现自动化,显著提升速度与精度。传统方法需大量先验知识训练,本研究探索数据驱动的新路径。提出一种新型两阶段检测与强度估计模块:第一阶段在INSAT3D卫星拍摄的整个图像中定位气旋;第二阶段采用基于ResNet-18主干的CNN-LSTM网络,处理气旋中心图像,捕捉时空特征,实现强度估计。该方法显著缩短推理时间,推动流程自动化,优于目前萨克天文中心(SAC)使用的数值天气预报(NWP)模型。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Estimating the location and intensity of tropical cyclones holds crucial significance for predicting catastrophic weather events. In this study, we approach this task as a detection and regression challenge, specifically over the North Indian Ocean (NIO) region where best tracks location and wind speed information serve as the labels. The current process for cyclone detection and intensity estimation involves physics-based simulation studies which are time-consuming, only using image features will automate the process for significantly faster and more accurate predictions. While conventional methods typically necessitate substantial prior knowledge for training, we are exploring alternative approaches to enhance efficiency. This research aims to focus specifically on cyclone detection, intensity estimation and related aspects using only image input and data-driven approaches and will lead to faster inference time and automate the process as opposed to current NWP models being utilized at SAC. In context to algorithm development, a novel two stage detection and intensity estimation module is proposed. In the first level detection we try to localize the cyclone over an entire image as captured by INSAT3D over the NIO (North Indian Ocean). For the intensity estimation task, we propose a CNN-LSTM network, which works on the cyclone centered images, utilizing a ResNet-18 backbone, by which we are able to capture both temporal and spatial characteristics.

气旋检测卫星图像深度学习时空建模

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