arXiv:2410.15076cs.AI2024-10被引 1

EPT-1.5在风速和辐射预测上超越主流模型,刷新气象预测新纪录

EPT-1.5 Technical Report

  • 基于地球物理变换器架构,专为欧洲能源行业设计
  • 风速预测优于GraphCast、FuXi、Pangu-Weather及ECMWF IFS HRES
  • 适合能源领域需高精度气象预测的场景

我们宣布发布EPT-1.5,这是地球物理变换器(Earth Physics Transformer, EPT)系列最新版本的基础型人工智能地球系统模型。相较于前代EPT-1,EPT-1.5在能源相关变量预测上实现显著提升,尤其在10米与100米风速及太阳辐射预测方面表现突出。在风速预测任务中,其性能超越现有AI天气模型(如GraphCast、FuXi、Pangu-Weather)以及欧洲中期天气预报中心(ECMWF)的领先数值模型IFS HRES,创下新的基准水平。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

We announce the release of EPT-1.5, the latest iteration in our Earth Physics Transformer (EPT) family of foundation AI earth system models. EPT-1.5 demonstrates substantial improvements over its predecessor, EPT-1. Built specifically for the European energy industry, EPT-1.5 shows remarkable performance in predicting energy-relevant variables, particularly 10m & 100m wind speed and solar radiation. Especially in wind prediction, it outperforms existing AI weather models like GraphCast, FuXi, and Pangu-Weather, as well as the leading numerical weather model, IFS HRES by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), setting a new state of the art.

气象预测能源应用Transformer风速预测

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