arXiv:2410.15283cs.LGcs.SY2024-10被引 8

用TRIZ创新理论优化建筑能耗预测,误差降15%。

TRIZ Method for Urban Building Energy Optimization: GWO-SARIMA-LSTM Forecasting model

  • 融合TRIZ与GWO-SARIMA-LSTM,从矛盾分析出发设计模型。
  • 相比现有模型,预测误差显著降低15%。
  • 适合城市能源管理与低碳建筑研究者参考。

在全球气候变化与可持续发展目标推动下,城市建筑能耗优化与碳排放减少成为研究重点。传统预测方法因难以全面考虑复杂能耗模式,尤其在应对季节波动和动态变化时准确性不足。本文提出一种融合TRIZ创新理论、灰狼优化(GWO)、SARIMA与长短期记忆网络(LSTM)的混合深度学习模型,以提升建筑能耗预测精度。TRIZ用于系统分析能耗优化中的矛盾,提供创新解法,实现能效、成本与舒适度的平衡;GWO用于优化模型参数,确保不同条件下保持高精度;SARIMA捕捉数据的季节性趋势,LSTM则处理短期与长期依赖关系,进一步提升预测性能。实验表明,该模型相较现有方法预测误差降低15%,显著提升了预测可靠性。本研究不仅增强城市能源管理水平,还为节能减排提供了新框架,助力可持续发展。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

With the advancement of global climate change and sustainable development goals, urban building energy consumption optimization and carbon emission reduction have become the focus of research. Traditional energy consumption prediction methods often lack accuracy and adaptability due to their inability to fully consider complex energy consumption patterns, especially in dealing with seasonal fluctuations and dynamic changes. This study proposes a hybrid deep learning model that combines TRIZ innovation theory with GWO, SARIMA and LSTM to improve the accuracy of building energy consumption prediction. TRIZ plays a key role in model design, providing innovative solutions to achieve an effective balance between energy efficiency, cost and comfort by systematically analyzing the contradictions in energy consumption optimization. GWO is used to optimize the parameters of the model to ensure that the model maintains high accuracy under different conditions. The SARIMA model focuses on capturing seasonal trends in the data, while the LSTM model handles short-term and long-term dependencies in the data, further improving the accuracy of the prediction. The main contribution of this research is the development of a robust model that leverages the strengths of TRIZ and advanced deep learning techniques, improving the accuracy of energy consumption predictions. Our experiments demonstrate a significant 15% reduction in prediction error compared to existing models. This innovative approach not only enhances urban energy management but also provides a new framework for optimizing energy use and reducing carbon emissions, contributing to sustainable development.

能耗预测TRIZ深度学习碳减排

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