无监督预测时间序列异常,能识别未知异常模式。
Unsupervised Time Series Anomaly Prediction with Importance-based Generative Contrastive Learning
- 基于重要性评分的生成对比学习,区分正常与异常前兆。
- 在7个基准数据集上优于现有最先进方法。
- 适合缺乏标注数据、需检测未知异常的工业场景。
时间序列异常预测在环境预警和网络物理系统快速维护等实际场景中至关重要。然而,现有方法多依赖大量人工标注数据进行有监督训练,而这些数据在实践中难以获取。此外,推理时可能出现未见过的异常,其特征与训练数据不同,导致模型失效。本文研究一种新型无监督时间序列异常预测问题,提出重要性驱动的生成对比学习(IGCL)方法,并给出理论分析。IGCL通过异常前兆生成模块生成正常与异常前兆,并利用带有重要性评分的记忆库,自适应存储代表性异常前兆,以生成更复杂的异常模式。该方法有效缓解了异常前兆组合复杂带来的效率问题。在7个基准数据集上的大量实验表明,该方法在无监督时间序列异常预测任务中优于现有最先进基线。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Time series anomaly prediction plays an essential role in many real-world scenarios, such as environmental prevention and prompt maintenance of cyber-physical systems. However, existing time series anomaly prediction methods mainly require supervised training with plenty of manually labeled data, which are difficult to obtain in practice. Besides, unseen anomalies can occur during inference, which could differ from the labeled training data and make these models fail to predict such new anomalies. In this paper, we study a novel problem of unsupervised time series anomaly prediction. We provide a theoretical analysis and propose Importance-based Generative Contrastive Learning (IGCL) to address the aforementioned problems. IGCL distinguishes between normal and anomaly precursors, which are generated by our anomaly precursor pattern generation module. To address the efficiency issues caused by the potential complex anomaly precursor combinations, we propose a memory bank with importance-based scores to adaptively store representative anomaly precursors and generate more complicated anomaly precursors. Extensive experiments on seven benchmark datasets show our method outperforms state-of-the-art baselines on unsupervised time series anomaly prediction problems.
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