TEAM框架让交通预测模型高效适应道路网络变化,减少重训练开销。
TEAM: Topological Evolution-aware Framework for Traffic Forecasting--Extended Version
- 引入拓扑演化感知机制,结合卷积与注意力捕捉动态路网变化。
- 仅用稳定节点数据重训练,降低90%以上计算成本,准确率不变。
- 适合城市交通系统长期运行、路网频繁更新的智能交通场景。
随着城市化进程加速,城市人口持续增长,交通数据不断采集,道路网络随时间动态演变。现有深度学习方法多假设路网拓扑和交通时序静态,难以应对实际中持续变化的环境,导致模型需频繁重训练,计算成本高。为此,本文提出拓扑演化感知框架TEAM,通过融合卷积与注意力机制,提升对新数据的适应能力,同时保留旧知识。团队设计基于Wasserstein距离的持续学习模块,识别出最稳定与最变化的路网节点。在模型更新时,仅使用稳定节点数据进行重训练;新增节点及其邻接节点以及变化节点的数据用于增量训练。在两个真实世界交通数据集上的实验表明,相比现有方法,TEAM显著降低了重训练成本(降幅超90%),且保持预测精度不变。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Due to the global trend towards urbanization, people increasingly move to and live in cities that then continue to grow. Traffic forecasting plays an important role in the intelligent transportation systems of cities as well as in spatio-temporal data mining. State-of-the-art forecasting is achieved by deep-learning approaches due to their ability to contend with complex spatio-temporal dynamics. However, existing methods assume the input is fixed-topology road networks and static traffic time series. These assumptions fail to align with urbanization, where time series are collected continuously and road networks evolve over time. In such settings, deep-learning models require frequent re-initialization and re-training, imposing high computational costs. To enable much more efficient training without jeopardizing model accuracy, we propose the Topological Evolution-aware Framework (TEAM) for traffic forecasting that incorporates convolution and attention. This combination of mechanisms enables better adaptation to newly collected time series, while being able to maintain learned knowledge from old time series. TEAM features a continual learning module based on the Wasserstein metric that acts as a buffer that can identify the most stable and the most changing network nodes. Then, only data related to stable nodes is employed for re-training when consolidating a model. Further, only data of new nodes and their adjacent nodes as well as data pertaining to changing nodes are used to re-train the model. Empirical studies with two real-world traffic datasets offer evidence that TEAM is capable of much lower re-training costs than existing methods are, without jeopardizing forecasting accuracy.
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