arXiv:2410.20405cs.LGmath.ST2024-10被引 1

区分多情境下因果图差异,提升异常事件解释力

Causal Modeling in Multi-Context Systems: Distinguishing Multiple Context-Specific Causal Graphs which Account for Observational Support

  • 引入新型因果图对象,同时建模因果机制与观测支持
  • 揭示不同情境中因果结构可辨识性条件,解决支持度不均问题
  • 适用于异常检测、知识迁移等场景,理论意义强

从多情境数据中学习因果结构既带来机遇也面临挑战。机遇在于可共享和情境特异性因果图共存,实现因果知识的泛化与迁移;但当前文献尚未充分研究不同情境间观测支持差异对因果图可辨识性的影响。本文深入研究了近期提出的[6]因果图对象,该对象同时捕捉因果机制与数据支持,使更广泛的情境特异性变化分析成为可能,并更精确地刻画分布漂移。我们扩展了情境特异性因果结构可辨识性的结果,提出一种在结构因果模型(SCM)中精细化建模情境特异性独立性(CSI)的框架,以探索这些图对象差异的情形。该框架有助于解释异常或极端事件中因果机制随条件改变的现象。研究成果为多情境系统中因果关系的理解提供理论基础,对泛化、迁移学习及异常检测具有启示意义。未来工作可将该方法拓展至时间序列等更复杂数据类型。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Causal structure learning with data from multiple contexts carries both opportunities and challenges. Opportunities arise from considering shared and context-specific causal graphs enabling to generalize and transfer causal knowledge across contexts. However, a challenge that is currently understudied in the literature is the impact of differing observational support between contexts on the identifiability of causal graphs. Here we study in detail recently introduced [6] causal graph objects that capture both causal mechanisms and data support, allowing for the analysis of a larger class of context-specific changes, characterizing distribution shifts more precisely. We thereby extend results on the identifiability of context-specific causal structures and propose a framework to model context-specific independence (CSI) within structural causal models (SCMs) in a refined way that allows to explore scenarios where these graph objects differ. We demonstrate how this framework can help explaining phenomena like anomalies or extreme events, where causal mechanisms change or appear to change under different conditions. Our results contribute to the theoretical foundations for understanding causal relations in multi-context systems, with implications for generalization, transfer learning, and anomaly detection. Future work may extend this approach to more complex data types, such as time-series.

因果建模多情境异常检测结构因果模型

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