生成式大模型将加剧国内外社会不平等，重塑未来社会关系
The Social Impact of Generative LLM-Based AI
- 分析生成式大模型对社会结构的影响机制
- 预测中美主导AI竞争，可能催生后知识社会
- 强调人际关系与软技能在新社会中的重要性
无论我们是否愿意，是否准备就绪，人工智能（AI）即将主导经济生产与社会生活，开启全新的历史阶段——人工智能革命。在革命真正到来之前，有必要探讨生成式大语言模型（GELLMAI）对社会的影响。本文聚焦于其社会影响，讨论推动技术发展的社会因素，以及其可能加剧国与国之间、国内各群体间的社会不平等。目前有充分迹象表明，美国和中国将引领该领域，成为全球AI主导权的主要竞争者。我们推测，人工智能革命可能催生一个后知识社会，知识本身的重要性将下降，而个人关系与社会认同将变得更加关键，软技能的重要性也将显著提升。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Liking it or not, ready or not, we are likely to enter a new phase of human history in which Artificial Intelligence (AI) will dominate economic production and social life -- the AI Revolution. Before the actual arrival of the AI Revolution, it is time for us to speculate on how AI will impact the social world. In this article, we focus on the social impact of generative LLM-based AI (GELLMAI), discussing societal factors that contribute to its technological development and its potential roles in enhancing both between-country and within-country social inequality. There are good indications that the US and China will lead the field and will be the main competitors for domination of AI in the world. We conjecture the AI Revolution will likely give rise to a post-knowledge society in which knowledge per se will become less important than in today's world. Instead, individual relationships and social identity will become more important. So will soft skills.
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