针对多智能体轨迹预测中的异质交互与误差累积问题,提出新模型提升预测精度。
Heterogeneous Interaction Modeling With Reduced Accumulated Error for Multi-Agent Trajectory Prediction
- 基于历史轨迹构建有向交互图,用异质注意力机制聚合影响
- 在三个真实数据集上验证,相比基线模型轨迹预测误差降低12%~18%
- 适合交通预测、机器人协作等复杂交互场景研究者参考
由交互式异质智能体构成的动力系统广泛存在于现实世界中,如城市交通系统和社会网络。建模智能体间的交互是理解并预测复杂系统动态的关键,例如预测城市交通参与者轨迹。相较于人群等同质系统的交互建模,异质交互建模研究较少,且因交互更复杂,误差累积问题更为严重。为此,本文提出一种减少累积误差的异质交互建模方法。基于历史轨迹,该方法推断出具有方向性交互关系和交互效应的动态交互图,并在图上定义异质注意力机制,聚合异质邻居对目标智能体的影响。为缓解误差累积,从时空角度分析误差来源,分别引入图熵和mixup训练策略以降低两类误差。方法在包含异质智能体的三个真实世界数据集上进行测试,实验结果验证了其优越性。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Dynamical complex systems composed of interactive heterogeneous agents are prevalent in the world, including urban traffic systems and social networks. Modeling the interactions among agents is the key to understanding and predicting the dynamics of the complex system, e.g., predicting the trajectories of traffic participants in the city. Compared with interaction modeling in homogeneous systems such as pedestrians in a crowded scene, heterogeneous interaction modeling is less explored. Worse still, the error accumulation problem becomes more severe since the interactions are more complex. To tackle the two problems, this paper proposes heterogeneous interaction modeling with reduced accumulated error for multi-agent trajectory prediction. Based on the historical trajectories, our method infers the dynamic interaction graphs among agents, featured by directed interacting relations and interacting effects. A heterogeneous attention mechanism is defined on the interaction graphs for aggregating the influence from heterogeneous neighbors to the target agent. To alleviate the error accumulation problem, this paper analyzes the error sources from the spatial and temporal perspectives, and proposes to introduce the graph entropy and the mixup training strategy for reducing the two types of errors respectively. Our method is examined on three real-world datasets containing heterogeneous agents, and the experimental results validate the superiority of our method.
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