比较三类强化学习智能体的未来行为预测效果,发现显式规划者更易预测。
Predicting Future Actions of Reinforcement Learning Agents
- 用内部状态和模拟两种方法预测智能体动作
- 显式规划者的计划信息量远高于其他类型
- 基于计划的预测对模型质量更鲁棒,适合安全部署
随着强化学习智能体在现实场景中广泛应用,预测其部署期间的未来行为和事件对改善人机交互、防止灾难性后果至关重要。本文实验评估并比较了三类智能体——显式规划、隐式规划与非规划型——在预测未来动作和事件上的表现。采用两种方法:基于智能体内部计算(如计划或神经元激活)的状态预测法,以及基于学习世界模型的模拟推演法。结果表明,显式规划智能体的计划信息显著优于其他类型神经元激活的可预测性;且在动作预测中,基于内部计划的方法比模拟法对模型质量变化更具鲁棒性,而事件预测结果则更为复杂。研究凸显了利用内部状态与模拟进行未来行为预测的价值,有助于提升真实场景中的交互与安全性。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
As reinforcement learning agents become increasingly deployed in real-world scenarios, predicting future agent actions and events during deployment is important for facilitating better human-agent interaction and preventing catastrophic outcomes. This paper experimentally evaluates and compares the effectiveness of future action and event prediction for three types of RL agents: explicitly planning, implicitly planning, and non-planning. We employ two approaches: the inner state approach, which involves predicting based on the inner computations of the agents (e.g., plans or neuron activations), and a simulation-based approach, which involves unrolling the agent in a learned world model. Our results show that the plans of explicitly planning agents are significantly more informative for prediction than the neuron activations of the other types. Furthermore, using internal plans proves more robust to model quality compared to simulation-based approaches when predicting actions, while the results for event prediction are more mixed. These findings highlight the benefits of leveraging inner states and simulations to predict future agent actions and events, thereby improving interaction and safety in real-world deployments.
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