arXiv:2411.02183cs.GTcs.LG2024-11

e-bike在红灯右转路口行为双重混乱,加剧交通冲突风险

Vehicles, Pedestrians, and E-bikes: a Three-party Game at Right-turn-on-red Crossroads Revealing the Dual and Irrational Role of E-bikes that Risks Traffic Safety

  • 用量化响应均衡模型分析三类路权博弈行为
  • e-bike行为更像机动车,与两者互动均无合理秩序
  • 研究为优化交通规则提供理论依据,适合政策制定者参考

电动自行车的普及便利了短途出行,却引发道路冲突与安全隐患。本研究聚焦电动自行车在交通冲突中的双重特性:与机动车交互时类似行人,与行人冲突时又表现如机动车,导致路权判定模糊。基于量化响应均衡模型,分析右转红灯路口中车辆-行人、车辆-电动自行车、电动自行车-行人三类群体在右转与直行线路冲突场景下的行为选择。结果显示,电动自行车整体行为更接近机动车,其与行人或机动车的互动均未形成合理通行秩序,显著增加混淆与冲突概率。相比之下,机动车与行人之间已形成默契:机动车倾向让行,行人倾向通行。通过构建博弈模型并引入理性参数,精准定位电动自行车在路权体系中的角色,为交通法规优化提供可靠理论支撑。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

The widespread use of e-bikes has facilitated short-distance travel yet led to confusion and safety problems in road traffic. This study focuses on the dual characteristics of e-bikes in traffic conflicts: they resemble pedestrians when interacting with motor vehicles and behave like motor vehicles when in conflict with pedestrians, which raises the right of way concerns when potential conflicts are at stake. Using the Quantal Response Equilibrium model, this research analyzes the behavioral choice differences of three groups of road users (vehicle-pedestrian, vehicle-e-bike, e-bike-pedestrian) at right-turn-on-red crossroads in right-turning lines and straight-going lines conflict scenarios. The results show that the behavior of e-bikes is more similar to that of motor vehicles than pedestrians overall, and their interactions with either pedestrians or motor vehicles do not establish a reasonable order, increasing the likelihood of confusion and conflict. In contrast, a mutual understanding has developed between motor vehicles and pedestrians, where motor vehicles tend to yield, and pedestrians tend to cross. By clarifying the game theoretical model and introducing the rationality parameter, this study precisely locates the role of e-bikes among road users, which provides a reliable theoretical basis for optimizing traffic regulations.

交通博弈e-bike安全路权冲突

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