解决未知因果图与随机干预下的线性因果强化学习难题。
Linear Causal Bandits: Unknown Graph and Soft Interventions
- 提出新算法,处理未知图结构与随机干预的挑战。
- 理论证明后悔上界为 $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}((cd)^{L-1/2}\sqrt{T})$,下界为 $Ω(d^{L-3/2}\sqrt{T})$。
- 适合研究因果推断与强化学习交叉领域的研究人员参考。
设计因果老虎机算法依赖于两个核心假设:(i) 对底层因果图的信息程度,(ii) 对干预统计模型的信息程度。近年来在放宽任一假设方面已有广泛进展,例如已知图但未知干预分布,或未知图但可访问受限的硬干预(即去除了随机性和祖先依赖)。然而,一般情形——即未知图与未知随机干预模型——仍悬而未决。本文解决了这一问题,证明在含 $N$ 个节点、最大入度 $d$、最大因果路径长度 $L$ 的图中,经过 $T$ 轮交互后,后悔上界为 $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}((cd)^{L-1/2}\sqrt{T} + d + RN)$,其中 $c>1$ 为常数,$R$ 表示干预能力。同时建立了通用极小极大下界 $Ω(d^{L-3/2}\sqrt{T})$。重要的是,随着 $T$ 增大,图规模 $N$ 对后悔的影响逐渐减弱。这些上下界在 $T$ 上表现一致,对 $L$ 呈指数依赖,对 $d$ 呈多项式依赖(存在 $d$ 的差距)。算法层面,提出一种计算高效的因果老虎机设计方法,克服了现有软干预算法面临的挑战。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Designing causal bandit algorithms depends on two central categories of assumptions: (i) the extent of information about the underlying causal graphs and (ii) the extent of information about interventional statistical models. There have been extensive recent advances in dispensing with assumptions on either category. These include assuming known graphs but unknown interventional distributions, and the converse setting of assuming unknown graphs but access to restrictive hard/$\operatorname{do}$ interventions, which removes the stochasticity and ancestral dependencies. Nevertheless, the problem in its general form, i.e., unknown graph and unknown stochastic intervention models, remains open. This paper addresses this problem and establishes that in a graph with $N$ nodes, maximum in-degree $d$ and maximum causal path length $L$, after $T$ interaction rounds the regret upper bound scales as $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}((cd)^{L-\frac{1}{2}}\sqrt{T} + d + RN)$ where $c>1$ is a constant and $R$ is a measure of intervention power. A universal minimax lower bound is also established, which scales as $Ω(d^{L-\frac{3}{2}}\sqrt{T})$. Importantly, the graph size $N$ has a diminishing effect on the regret as $T$ grows. These bounds have matching behavior in $T$, exponential dependence on $L$, and polynomial dependence on $d$ (with the gap $d\ $). On the algorithmic aspect, the paper presents a novel way of designing a computationally efficient CB algorithm, addressing a challenge that the existing CB algorithms using soft interventions face.
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