arXiv:2411.02661cs.GTcs.LG2024-11NeurIPS被引 17

研究生成式AI如何定价与竞争,揭示先发与后发企业的策略差异。

Pricing and Competition for Generative AI

  • 构建双公司博弈模型,分析生成式AI分阶段发布时的定价策略。
  • 后发企业可至少在一项任务上保持成本优势,先发者需设高价激励对手。
  • 当任务高度相似时,先发模型可能全任务成本无效,定价难盈利。

相较于传统机器学习模型,生成式模型具备三大特征:(i)单个模型可直接用于多种任务;(ii)用户通过自然语言提示与模型交互;(iii)模型表现以用户二元满意度评估。基于此,本文探讨生成式AI软件开发者如何发布与定价。首先建立针对特定任务的两模型成本效益比较框架;其次将定价问题建模为两家公司在用户选择前依次发布模型的博弈过程。此时价格优化变为分段连续问题:企业需选择部分任务实现成本效益,放弃其余任务的收益。研究发现,掌握市场信息的后发企业总能在至少一项任务上保持成本有效性,而先发企业必须设定足够高的价格以激励后发者提高报价。最重要的是,若不同任务足够相似,无论怎样定价,先发模型都可能在所有任务上失去成本优势。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Compared to classical machine learning (ML) models, generative models offer a new usage paradigm where (i) a single model can be used for many different tasks out-of-the-box; (ii) users interact with this model over a series of natural language prompts; and (iii) the model is ideally evaluated on binary user satisfaction with respect to model outputs. Given these characteristics, we explore the problem of how developers of new generative AI software can release and price their technology. We first develop a comparison of two different models for a specific task with respect to user cost-effectiveness. We then model the pricing problem of generative AI software as a game between two different companies who sequentially release their models before users choose their preferred model for each task. Here, the price optimization problem becomes piecewise continuous where the companies must choose a subset of the tasks on which to be cost-effective and forgo revenue for the remaining tasks. In particular, we reveal the value of market information by showing that a company who deploys later after knowing their competitor's price can always secure cost-effectiveness on at least one task, whereas the company who is the first-to-market must price their model in a way that incentivizes higher prices from the latecomer in order to gain revenue. Most importantly, we find that if the different tasks are sufficiently similar, the first-to-market model may become cost-ineffective on all tasks regardless of how this technology is priced.

生成式AI定价策略博弈论

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