用神经网络实现遥感反演不确定性快速量化,速度超传统方法百万倍。
Uncertainty Prediction Neural Network (UpNet): Embedding Artificial Neural Network in Bayesian Inversion Framework to Quantify the Uncertainty of Remote Sensing Retrieval
- 将神经网络嵌入贝叶斯框架,用平方损失训练输出后验均值
- 新算法UpNet可同时反演植被参数并给出不确定性估计
- 性能媲美马尔可夫链蒙特卡洛,但计算速度提升百万倍
针对大范围植被生物物理参数反演,辐射传输模型(RTM)反演是常用方法。近年来,基于人工神经网络(ANN)的方法因高精度与高效率成为主流,广泛应用于生物物理变量(BV)反演。然而,由于缺乏贝叶斯反演理论支撑,难以量化反演不确定性,而该指标对产品质量验证及数据同化、碳循环建模等下游应用至关重要。本研究证明:以平方损失训练的ANN输出为后验均值,为不确定性量化、正则化及先验信息融合提供了理论基础。据此提出一种新的贝叶斯框架,构建了新型算法Uncertainty Prediction Neural Network(UpNet),可同步训练两个神经网络,实现BV反演与不确定性预测。在广泛应用的ProSAIL RTM上验证表明,UpNet反演结果与不确定性估计与马尔可夫链蒙特卡洛(MCMC)方法高度一致,且计算速度提升超过一百万倍。结果表明,UpNet在中高分辨率遥感数据下具有快速反演与不确定性量化的重要潜力。代码已开源:https://github.com/Dash-RSer/UpNet。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
For the retrieval of large-scale vegetation biophysical parameters, the inversion of radiative transfer models (RTMs) is the most commonly used approach. In recent years, Artificial Neural Network (ANN)-based methods have become the mainstream for inverting RTMs due to their high accuracy and computational efficiency. It has been widely used in the retrieval of biophysical variables (BV). However, due to the lack of the Bayesian inversion theory interpretation, it faces challenges in quantifying the retrieval uncertainty, a crucial metric for product quality validation and downstream applications such as data assimilation or ecosystem carbon cycling modeling. This study proved that the ANN trained with squared loss outputs the posterior mean, providing a rigorous foundation for its uncertainty quantification, regularization, and incorporation of prior information. A Bayesian theoretical framework was subsequently proposed for ANN-based methods. Using this framework, we derived a new algorithm called Uncertainty Prediction Neural Network (UpNet), which enables the simultaneous training of two ANNs to retrieve BV and provide retrieval uncertainty. To validate our method, we compared UpNet with the standard Bayesian inference method, i.e., Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), in the inversion of a widely used RTM called ProSAIL for retrieving BVs and estimating uncertainty. The results demonstrated that the BVs retrieved and the uncertainties estimated by UpNet were highly consistent with those from MCMC, achieving over a million-fold acceleration. These results indicated that UpNet has significant potential for fast retrieval and uncertainty quantification of BVs or other parameters with medium and high-resolution remote sensing data. Our Python implementation is available at: https://github.com/Dash-RSer/UpNet.
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