用轨迹数据提升高速公路速度估计精度与效率,抗干扰强。
Efficient and Robust Freeway Traffic Speed Estimation under Oblique Grid using Vehicle Trajectory Data
- 构建斜向网格矩阵,利用交通波先验将时空依赖转为低秩结构。
- 在标准场景下RMSE降低12%,抗噪场景下降低18%,速度超SOTA 20倍以上。
- 适合交通监控、智能导航等需高效鲁棒速度估计的工程应用。
由于传感器部署有限且数据易受污染,准确估计高速公路时空交通状态是一项重大挑战。本文提出一种高效稳健的低秩模型,基于低渗透率车辆轨迹数据实现精确的时空交通速度估计(TSE)。通过引入交通波先验,设计基于斜向网格的矩阵,将交通状态的内在依赖关系转化为矩阵的代数低秩性。在此基础上,定制低秩矩阵补全方法,显式捕捉时空交通传播特性并精准重构交通状态。此外,设计基于稀疏矩阵的异常容忍模块,可处理污染输入数据,提升模型鲁棒性。值得注意的是,基于对交通波的理解,所提方法计算复杂度仅与问题规模相关,不依赖数据集大小和超参数选择。大量实验表明,该模型在性能、鲁棒性和效率方面均显著优于现有方法:在标准TSE场景下RMSE最高提升12%,在鲁棒TSE场景下提升18%,运行速度超过当前最先进方法20倍以上。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Accurately estimating spatiotemporal traffic states on freeways is a significant challenge due to limited sensor deployment and potential data corruption. In this study, we propose an efficient and robust low-rank model for precise spatiotemporal traffic speed state estimation (TSE) using lowpenetration vehicle trajectory data. Leveraging traffic wave priors, an oblique grid-based matrix is first designed to transform the inherent dependencies of spatiotemporal traffic states into the algebraic low-rankness of a matrix. Then, with the enhanced traffic state low-rankness in the oblique matrix, a low-rank matrix completion method is tailored to explicitly capture spatiotemporal traffic propagation characteristics and precisely reconstruct traffic states. In addition, an anomaly-tolerant module based on a sparse matrix is developed to accommodate corrupted data input and thereby improve the TSE model robustness. Notably, driven by the understanding of traffic waves, the computational complexity of the proposed efficient method is only correlated with the problem size itself, not with dataset size and hyperparameter selection prevalent in existing studies. Extensive experiments demonstrate the effectiveness, robustness, and efficiency of the proposed model. The performance of the proposed method achieves up to a 12% improvement in Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) in the TSE scenarios and an 18% improvement in RMSE in the robust TSE scenarios, and it runs more than 20 times faster than the state-of-the-art (SOTA) methods.
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