arXiv:2411.10058eess.SYcs.LG2024-11中稿 · IEEE Transactions …被引 17

用无监督方法从电价数据中识别电网拥堵状态,提升市场预测与策略制定能力。

Unsupervised Congestion Status Identification Using LMP Data

  • 基于直流潮流模型分析电价分布,发现拥堵部分由特定功率转移因子向量张成。
  • 通过分层搜索找到低维子空间基向量,实现对全部线路拥堵状态的精准识别。
  • 适用于电力市场分析、电网运行监控,尤其适合缺乏标注数据的场景。

更好地理解节点边际电价(LMP)的变化有助于价格预测与市场策略制定。本文采用无监督方法,研究高维欧氏空间中LMP拥堵部分的基本分布特性。基于无损与有损直流最优潮流(DC-OPF)模型分析表明,LMP数据具有重叠子空间性质。拥堵部分的LMP可由功率转移分布因子(PTDF)矩阵的某些行向量张成,且该子空间属性能唯一反映所有输电线路的实时拥堵状态。所提方法以分层方式搜索拥堵LMP数据的基向量:自底向上检测一维子空间数据,并将其余数据投影到正交子空间;重复此过程直至找到所有基向量或出现基差。自顶向下通过含异常值的超平面检测解决基差问题。一旦确定所有基向量,即可识别拥堵状态。基于IEEE 30节点系统、IEEE 118节点系统、伊利诺伊200节点系统及西南电力池(SPP)的数值实验验证了方法性能。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Having a better understanding of how locational marginal prices (LMPs) change helps in price forecasting and market strategy making. This paper investigates the fundamental distribution of the congestion part of LMPs in high-dimensional Euclidean space using an unsupervised approach. LMP models based on the lossless and lossy DC optimal power flow (DC-OPF) are analyzed to show the overlapping subspace property of the LMP data. The congestion part of LMPs is spanned by certain row vectors of the power transfer distribution factor (PTDF) matrix, and the subspace attributes of an LMP vector uniquely are found to reflect the instantaneous congestion status of all the transmission lines. The proposed method searches for the basis vectors that span the subspaces of congestion LMP data in hierarchical ways. In the bottom-up search, the data belonging to 1-dimensional subspaces are detected, and other data are projected on the orthogonal subspaces. This procedure is repeated until all the basis vectors are found or the basis gap appears. Top-down searching is used to address the basis gap by hyperplane detection with outliers. Once all the basis vectors are detected, the congestion status can be identified. Numerical experiments based on the IEEE 30-bus system, IEEE 118-bus system, Illinois 200-bus system, and Southwest Power Pool are conducted to show the performance of the proposed method.

电力市场无监督学习电网拥堵电价分析

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