用引导函数提升多阶段决策模型的训练稳定性与效果
Guided Learning: Lubricating End-to-End Modeling for Multi-stage Decision-making
- 引入'引导函数'分阶段指导中间层训练,防止梯度崩溃
- 在无标签场景中用效用函数量化整体决策收益,实现端到端优化
- 适用于投资策略、自动驾驶等复杂多阶段决策任务
多阶段决策在推荐系统、自动驾驶和量化投资等领域至关重要。以量化投资为例,流程通常包括因子挖掘、阿尔法预测、组合优化及订单执行等多个连续阶段。尽管当前最先进的端到端建模试图将这些阶段统一为单一全局框架,但仍面临两大挑战:(1) 从输入到输出的多阶段神经网络训练常导致次优解甚至完全崩溃;(2) 许多决策场景难以简化为标准预测问题。为此,我们提出引导学习(Guided Learning),一种新型方法论框架,旨在增强多阶段决策中的端到端学习。我们引入‘引导’概念,即一个函数,用于引导中间神经网络层向阶段性目标收敛,使梯度避开次优坍缩区域。对于缺乏显式监督标签的决策场景,我们引入效用函数来量化整个决策过程的‘回报’。此外,我们探讨了引导学习与监督学习、无监督学习、半监督学习、多任务学习及强化学习等经典机器学习范式的联系。在量化投资策略构建上的实验表明,引导学习显著优于传统分阶段方法和现有端到端方法。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Multi-stage decision-making is crucial in various real-world artificial intelligence applications, including recommendation systems, autonomous driving, and quantitative investment systems. In quantitative investment, for example, the process typically involves several sequential stages such as factor mining, alpha prediction, portfolio optimization, and sometimes order execution. While state-of-the-art end-to-end modeling aims to unify these stages into a single global framework, it faces significant challenges: (1) training such a unified neural network consisting of multiple stages between initial inputs and final outputs often leads to suboptimal solutions, or even collapse, and (2) many decision-making scenarios are not easily reducible to standard prediction problems. To overcome these challenges, we propose Guided Learning, a novel methodological framework designed to enhance end-to-end learning in multi-stage decision-making. We introduce the concept of a ``guide'', a function that induces the training of intermediate neural network layers towards some phased goals, directing gradients away from suboptimal collapse. For decision scenarios lacking explicit supervisory labels, we incorporate a utility function that quantifies the ``reward'' of the throughout decision. Additionally, we explore the connections between Guided Learning and classic machine learning paradigms such as supervised, unsupervised, semi-supervised, multi-task, and reinforcement learning. Experiments on quantitative investment strategy building demonstrate that guided learning significantly outperforms both traditional stage-wise approaches and existing end-to-end methods.
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