arXiv:2411.11046cs.LGcs.AI2024-11被引 3

用知识图谱增强Transformer,提升多变量长序列预测精度

Knowledge-enhanced Transformer for Multivariate Long Sequence Time-series Forecasting

  • 将变量间关系构建为知识图谱,动态生成嵌入向量融入Transformer
  • 在天气和变压器温度数据集上,各模型预测误差降低10%以上
  • 适合需要理解变量间复杂关系的工业时序预测场景

多变量长序列时间序列预测在诸多实际应用中至关重要。近期研究主要依赖Transformer架构,因其能有效捕捉长时间跨度的时序模式。然而,现有方法常忽略输入变量间由其特性决定的内在关系。本文提出将信息丰富的知识图谱嵌入(KGE)与先进Transformer架构结合的新方法,通过构建变量间的概念关系知识图谱,生成可学习的动态KGE,并无缝集成至Transformer中。我们评估了该方法在PatchTST、Autoformer、Informer和Vanilla Transformer等主流架构上的表现,验证了其在长周期预测任务中的显著性能提升。实验基于Weather和Electric Transformer Temperature(ETT)数据集,结果表明,该增强方法能有效捕捉跨多个领域的复杂时序与关系动态,显著提高多变量长序列预测的准确性。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Multivariate Long Sequence Time-series Forecasting (LSTF) has been a critical task across various real-world applications. Recent advancements focus on the application of transformer architectures attributable to their ability to capture temporal patterns effectively over extended periods. However, these approaches often overlook the inherent relationships and interactions between the input variables that could be drawn from their characteristic properties. In this paper, we aim to bridge this gap by integrating information-rich Knowledge Graph Embeddings (KGE) with state-of-the-art transformer-based architectures. We introduce a novel approach that encapsulates conceptual relationships among variables within a well-defined knowledge graph, forming dynamic and learnable KGEs for seamless integration into the transformer architecture. We investigate the influence of this integration into seminal architectures such as PatchTST, Autoformer, Informer, and Vanilla Transformer. Furthermore, we thoroughly investigate the performance of these knowledge-enhanced architectures along with their original implementations for long forecasting horizons and demonstrate significant improvement in the benchmark results. This enhancement empowers transformer-based architectures to address the inherent structural relation between variables. Our knowledge-enhanced approach improves the accuracy of multivariate LSTF by capturing complex temporal and relational dynamics across multiple domains. To substantiate the validity of our model, we conduct comprehensive experiments using Weather and Electric Transformer Temperature (ETT) datasets.

时间序列知识图谱Transformer预测

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