arXiv:2411.11848q-fin.STcs.LG2024-11中稿 · the 3rd Internatio…被引 15

用图神经网络分析金融网络风险,提升系统性风险识别能力

Robust Graph Neural Networks for Stability Analysis in Dynamic Networks

  • 基于GNN构建动态金融网络的风险识别模型
  • 可捕捉复杂关系中的异常模式与潜在风险信号
  • 适合金融机构和监管机构用于风险预警与决策支持

在全球化与数字化加速背景下,金融市场复杂性与不确定性上升,经济风险识别成为维护金融稳定的关键。传统方法难以应对金融网络中多层级、动态变化的复杂关系。随着金融科技发展,图神经网络(GNN)作为新兴深度学习方法,在金融风险管理领域展现出潜力。GNN能将交易行为、金融机构、个体及其互动关系映射为图结构,通过嵌入表示学习有效捕捉金融数据中的潜在模式与异常信号。利用该技术,金融机构可从复杂交易网络中提取有价值信息,及时识别可能引发系统性风险的隐藏威胁或异常行为,优化决策流程,提高风险预警准确性。本文研究基于GNN的经济风险识别算法,旨在为金融机构与监管机构提供更智能的技术工具,助力维护金融市场安全与稳定。通过创新技术手段提升风险识别效率,有望增强金融体系抗风险能力,为构建稳健全球金融体系奠定基础。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

In the current context of accelerated globalization and digitalization, the complexity and uncertainty of financial markets are increasing, and the identification and prevention of economic risks have become a key link in maintaining the stability of the financial system. Traditional risk identification methods often have limitations because they are difficult to cope with the multi-level and dynamically changing complex relationships in financial networks. With the rapid development of financial technology, graph neural network (GNN) technology, as an emerging deep learning method, has gradually shown great potential in the field of financial risk management. GNN can map transaction behaviors, financial institutions, individuals, and their interactive relationships in financial networks into graph structures, and effectively capture potential patterns and abnormal signals in financial data through embedded representation learning. Using this technology, financial institutions can extract valuable information from complex transaction networks, identify hidden dangers or abnormal behaviors that may cause systemic risks in a timely manner, optimize decision-making processes, and improve the accuracy of risk warnings. This paper explores the economic risk identification algorithm based on the GNN algorithm, aiming to provide financial institutions and regulators with more intelligent technical tools to help maintain the security and stability of the financial market. Improving the efficiency of economic risk identification through innovative technical means is expected to further enhance the risk resistance of the financial system and lay the foundation for building a robust global financial system.

图神经网络金融风险系统性风险动态网络

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