用预测模型提前识别比特币牛熊周期，辅助加密市场决策。
Advance Detection Of Bull And Bear Phases In Cryptocurrency Markets
- 基于移动平均线构建牛熊周期判断标准
- 通过预测算法提前预判比特币未来走势
- 适合量化交易者与加密投资者参考
加密货币是高度波动的金融工具，越来越多的新零售投资者参与其中。比特币目前市场占有率接近50%，始终引领整个加密市场的方向。加密市场的牛熊周期由比特币在50日和200日移动平均线上的表现决定。本文旨在通过预测算法提前预判比特币的未来表现，利用预测数据计算50日与200日移动平均线，并绘制趋势图，以识别潜在的牛熊阶段。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile financial instruments with more and more new retail investors joining the scene with each passing day. Bitcoin has always proved to determine in which way the rest of the cryptocurrency market is headed towards. As of today Bitcoin has a market dominance of close to 50 percent. Bull and bear phases in cryptocurrencies are determined based on the performance of Bitcoin over the 50 Day and 200 Day Moving Averages. The aim of this paper is to foretell the performance of bitcoin in the near future by employing predictive algorithms. This predicted data will then be used to calculate the 50 Day and 200 Day Moving Averages and subsequently plotted to establish the potential bull and bear phases.
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