arXiv:2411.13599q-fin.STcs.AI2024-11

用提示工程让ChatGPT分析黄金投资,减少人类偏见,提升决策逻辑性。

Can ChatGPT Overcome Behavioral Biases in the Financial Sector? Classify-and-Rethink: Multi-Step Zero-Shot Reasoning in the Gold Investment

  • 设计多步零样本推理提示,结合新闻语义增强金融判断力。
  • 相比直接输出,该方法使投资建议更可解释,收益表现更优。
  • 适合关注量化决策与行为金融的投资者和研究者。

大型语言模型(LLMs)近年来取得显著进展,在生成可理解、结构化文本方面表现出色。这些模型已被应用于临床研究等多领域,如领域特定模型Med-Palm已达到人类水平表现。近期研究通过高级提示工程提升了LLMs的通用推理能力。尽管零样本思维链(CoT)在一般推理任务中表现优异,其在金融推理任务中的潜力仍被低估。为解决此问题,我们探索多种提示策略并引入语义新闻信息,以提升LLMs在金融推理任务中的表现。据我们所知,这是首次将ChatGPT应用于黄金投资场景的研究。本工作旨在考察LLMs的金融推理能力及其生成逻辑且有说服力投资意见的能力。我们使用当前最强大的LLM之一ChatGPT,并结合提示工程实现目标。研究发现,采用CoT提示的ChatGPT能提供更具可解释性的预测,有效克服行为偏见,这对金融任务至关重要,且可带来更高投资回报。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Large Language Models (LLMs) have achieved remarkable success recently, displaying exceptional capabilities in creating understandable and organized text. These LLMs have been utilized in diverse fields, such as clinical research, where domain-specific models like Med-Palm have achieved human-level performance. Recently, researchers have employed advanced prompt engineering to enhance the general reasoning ability of LLMs. Despite the remarkable success of zero-shot Chain-of-Thoughts (CoT) in solving general reasoning tasks, the potential of these methods still remains paid limited attention in the financial reasoning task.To address this issue, we explore multiple prompt strategies and incorporated semantic news information to improve LLMs' performance on financial reasoning tasks.To the best of our knowledge, we are the first to explore this important issue by applying ChatGPT to the gold investment.In this work, our aim is to investigate the financial reasoning capabilities of LLMs and their capacity to generate logical and persuasive investment opinions. We will use ChatGPT, one of the most powerful LLMs recently, and prompt engineering to achieve this goal. Our research will focus on understanding the ability of LLMs in sophisticated analysis and reasoning within the context of investment decision-making. Our study finds that ChatGPT with CoT prompt can provide more explainable predictions and overcome behavioral biases, which is crucial in finance-related tasks and can achieve higher investment returns.

金融推理提示工程行为偏见黄金投资

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