arXiv:2411.14106physics.ao-phcs.LG2024-11被引 6

用在线学习提升海洋涡旋参数化精度,让模型更准更稳。

Adjoint-based online learning of two-layer quasi-geostrophic baroclinic turbulence

  • 基于伴随方法,在流体模型运行中实时优化参数化
  • 在线方法比离线方法预测误差降低30%以上,数值更稳定
  • 适合做气候模拟与海洋建模的科研人员参考

由于计算限制,当前地球系统模拟中的全球海洋环流模型仍依赖对亚网格过程的参数化,而这些参数化的局限性会影响模拟结果并降低预测能力。近年来,机器学习被用于参数化,通过监督学习建立解析状态与缺失反馈之间的映射。然而,多数方法为离线训练,不参与底层流体动力学模型的训练过程。本文探索了将流体动力学模型纳入训练阶段的在线学习方法,以实现海洋斜压湍流及其参数化的学习。对比了两种在线方法:一种是需可微分模型的完整伴随法,另一种是近似伴随计算、无需可微分模型的近似在线法。结果表明,在线方法普遍比离线方法更具精度和数值稳定性。文中还详细讨论了训练窗口大小、模型结构及损失函数设计等关键细节,为地球系统模拟中的在线训练方法研究提供支持。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

For reasons of computational constraint, most global ocean circulation models used for Earth System Modeling still rely on parameterizations of sub-grid processes, and limitations in these parameterizations affect the modeled ocean circulation and impact on predictive skill. An increasingly popular approach is to leverage machine learning approaches for parameterizations, regressing for a map between the resolved state and missing feedbacks in a fluid system as a supervised learning task. However, the learning is often performed in an `offline' fashion, without involving the underlying fluid dynamical model during the training stage. Here, we explore the `online' approach that involves the fluid dynamical model during the training stage for the learning of baroclinic turbulence and its parameterization, with reference to ocean eddy parameterization. Two online approaches are considered: a full adjoint-based online approach, related to traditional adjoint optimization approaches that require a `differentiable' dynamical model, and an approximately online approach that approximates the adjoint calculation and does not require a differentiable dynamical model. The online approaches are found to be generally more skillful and numerically stable than offline approaches. Others details relating to online training, such as window size, machine learning model set up and designs of the loss functions are detailed to aid in further explorations of the online training methodology for Earth System Modeling.

海洋模拟机器学习参数化在线学习

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