arXiv:2411.14679cs.LGcs.SY2024-11

提出一种可在线自适应的高斯过程状态空间模型,提升动态系统建模的效率与精度。

Recursive Gaussian Process State Space Model

  • 基于一阶线性化推导出联合分布的贝叶斯更新公式,实现闭式求解。
  • 通过信息准则选择诱导点,实现轻量化在线学习。
  • 利用滤波分布恢复历史数据,支持超参数在线优化,适合实时场景。

从数据中学习动态模型不仅基础重要,且在原理发现、时间序列预测和控制器设计方面具有巨大潜力。近年来,高斯过程状态空间模型(GPSSM)因其灵活性与可解释性受到广泛关注。然而,在线学习领域仍缺乏适用于先验信息有限场景的高效方法。为此,本文提出一种具备自适应能力的递归GPSSM方法,可同时适应运行域与高斯过程(GP)超参数。首先,采用一阶线性化推导出系统状态与GP模型联合分布的贝叶斯更新方程,实现闭式解与领域无关的学习。其次,基于信息准则设计了在线诱导点选择算法,实现轻量化学习。第三,通过当前滤波分布重构历史测量信息,支持超参数在线优化。在合成与真实数据集上的综合评估表明,该方法在精度、计算效率和适应性上均优于现有最优在线GPSSM技术。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Learning dynamical models from data is not only fundamental but also holds great promise for advancing principle discovery, time-series prediction, and controller design. Among various approaches, Gaussian Process State-Space Models (GPSSMs) have recently gained significant attention due to their combination of flexibility and interpretability. However, for online learning, the field lacks an efficient method suitable for scenarios where prior information regarding data distribution and model function is limited. To address this issue, this paper proposes a recursive GPSSM method with adaptive capabilities for both operating domains and Gaussian process (GP) hyperparameters. Specifically, we first utilize first-order linearization to derive a Bayesian update equation for the joint distribution between the system state and the GP model, enabling closed-form and domain-independent learning. Second, an online selection algorithm for inducing points is developed based on informative criteria to achieve lightweight learning. Third, to support online hyperparameter optimization, we recover historical measurement information from the current filtering distribution. Comprehensive evaluations on both synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate the superior accuracy, computational efficiency, and adaptability of our method compared to state-of-the-art online GPSSM techniques.

动态系统建模高斯过程在线学习

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