arXiv:2411.14827cs.CVcs.AI2024-11被引 1

用图像预测天气分布,让自动驾驶更懂环境变化

Physically Interpretable Probabilistic Domain Characterization

  • 通过归一化流估计物理参数分布,实现可解释的天气建模
  • 在真实车载图像上成功预测多种天气条件的概率分布
  • 支持安全域评估,适合自动驾驶系统环境适应场景

领域表征对动态环境中的模型至关重要,有助于其适应变化条件或在超出操作域时交由备用系统接管。现有方法通常通过回归或分类任务进行表征,仅提供有限的总结性描述,适用性受限。本文提出一种新方法,将领域表征为概率分布,利用归一化流从车载摄像头拍摄的图像中估计物理参数分布,预测不同天气条件的可能性。实验聚焦自动驾驶场景,验证了该方法在绝对表征(基于物理参数)和相对表征(预设任意域)下的有效性。进一步通过与多个已知安全源域对比,评估系统在目标域中是否可安全运行。该方法在准确天气预测与有效域自适应方面具有重要潜力,对自动驾驶应对动态环境至关重要。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Characterizing domains is essential for models analyzing dynamic environments, as it allows them to adapt to evolving conditions or to hand the task over to backup systems when facing conditions outside their operational domain. Existing solutions typically characterize a domain by solving a regression or classification problem, which limits their applicability as they only provide a limited summarized description of the domain. In this paper, we present a novel approach to domain characterization by characterizing domains as probability distributions. Particularly, we develop a method to predict the likelihood of different weather conditions from images captured by vehicle-mounted cameras by estimating distributions of physical parameters using normalizing flows. To validate our proposed approach, we conduct experiments within the context of autonomous vehicles, focusing on predicting the distribution of weather parameters to characterize the operational domain. This domain is characterized by physical parameters (absolute characterization) and arbitrarily predefined domains (relative characterization). Finally, we evaluate whether a system can safely operate in a target domain by comparing it to multiple source domains where safety has already been established. This approach holds significant potential, as accurate weather prediction and effective domain adaptation are crucial for autonomous systems to adjust to dynamic environmental conditions.

自动驾驶概率建模域表征

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