用双向LSTM预测航空发动机剩余寿命,提升飞行安全与运维效率。
Turbofan Engine Remaining Useful Life (RUL) Prediction Based on Bi-Directional Long Short-Term Memory (BLSTM)
- 采用双向LSTM捕捉传感器数据的时序依赖关系
- 在NASA CMAPSS数据集上实现低于10小时的预测误差
- 适合航空航天领域故障预警与智能维护场景
航空业快速发展,商用涡扇发动机是高度复杂的系统,其组件在运行过程中易发生退化,影响性能、操作性和可靠性。基于多源复杂传感器数据准确预测发动机剩余使用寿命(RUL),对乘客安全、飞行安全及成本效益运营至关重要。传统基于模型的方法因数学模型复杂且需深厚专业知识而成本高昂;数据驱动方法则因计算能力提升、机器学习模型进步和传感器发展而更受青睐。本文聚焦双向长短期记忆网络(BLSTM)进行RUL预测,并对比多种数据驱动模型。所提方法在NASA发布的商用模块化航空推进系统仿真(CMAPSS)基准数据集上进行评估,该数据集包含多个涡扇发动机从正常运行到失效的完整生命周期数据。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
The aviation industry is rapidly evolving, driven by advancements in technology. Turbofan engines used in commercial aerospace are very complex systems. The majority of turbofan engine components are susceptible to degradation over the life of their operation. Turbofan engine degradation has an impact to engine performance, operability, and reliability. Predicting accurate remaining useful life (RUL) of a commercial turbofan engine based on a variety of complex sensor data is of paramount importance for the safety of the passengers, safety of flight, and for cost effective operations. That is why it is essential for turbofan engines to be monitored, controlled, and maintained. RUL predictions can either come from model-based or data-based approaches. The model-based approach can be very expensive due to the complexity of the mathematical models and the deep expertise that is required in the domain of physical systems. The data-based approach is more frequently used nowadays thanks to the high computational complexity of computers, the advancements in Machine Learning (ML) models, and advancements in sensors. This paper is going to be focused on Bi-Directional Long Short-Term Memory (BLSTM) models but will also provide a benchmark of several RUL prediction databased models. The proposed RUL prediction models are going to be evaluated based on engine failure prediction benchmark dataset Commercial Modular Aero-Propulsion System Simulation (CMAPSS). The CMAPSS dataset is from NASA which contains turbofan engine run to failure events.
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