用城市大数据学习公共设施价格,更准评估房产价值
MONOPOLY: Learning to Price Public Facilities for Revaluing Private Properties with Large-Scale Urban Data
- 构建公共设施与房产的加权图,联合学习设施价格和房价
- 在多个中国大城市数据上,预测误差显著低于主流方法
- 适合房产评估、城市规划及投资决策者使用
私人房产估值是一项全球关注且极具挑战性的任务。传统做法依赖房产属性、人口统计及周边公共设施,但公共设施的具体价值未知。本文提出名为「Monopoly」的新项目,基于百度地图积累的大规模城市数据,通过分布式方法学习公共设施(如医院)的价格,以重估私人房产价值。方法将兴趣点(POIs)构建成无向加权图,将周边公共设施的虚拟价格作为自适应变量,协同估计已知房价,通过损失函数迭代更新设施与房产价格直至收敛。在多个中国超大城市的数据上进行了广泛实验,结果表明该方法显著优于多种主流方法。深入分析显示,该工作是商业智能与城市计算的创新交叉应用,可为数千万用户的投资决策以及政府的城市规划与税收政策提供支持。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
The value assessment of private properties is an attractive but challenging task which is widely concerned by a majority of people around the world. A prolonged topic among us is ``\textit{how much is my house worth?}''. To answer this question, most experienced agencies would like to price a property given the factors of its attributes as well as the demographics and the public facilities around it. However, no one knows the exact prices of these factors, especially the values of public facilities which may help assess private properties. In this paper, we introduce our newly launched project ``Monopoly'' (named after a classic board game) in which we propose a distributed approach for revaluing private properties by learning to price public facilities (such as hospitals etc.) with the large-scale urban data we have accumulated via Baidu Maps. To be specific, our method organizes many points of interest (POIs) into an undirected weighted graph and formulates multiple factors including the virtual prices of surrounding public facilities as adaptive variables to parallelly estimate the housing prices we know. Then the prices of both public facilities and private properties can be iteratively updated according to the loss of prediction until convergence. We have conducted extensive experiments with the large-scale urban data of several metropolises in China. Results show that our approach outperforms several mainstream methods with significant margins. Further insights from more in-depth discussions demonstrate that the ``Monopoly'' is an innovative application in the interdisciplinary field of business intelligence and urban computing, and it will be beneficial to tens of millions of our users for investments and to the governments for urban planning as well as taxation.
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