用机器学习分析单光子空间碎片亮度变化,准确率超90%
Machine learning-based classification for Single Photon Space Debris Light Curves
- 先自动提取特征再分类,提升识别精度
- 最高分类准确率达90.7%,适用于碎片来源与类型判断
- 对比传统与深度模型,验证特征工程有效性
地球轨道上的人造碎片数量持续增长,对在轨卫星构成碰撞威胁,因此对未知碎片的特性表征至关重要。亮度曲线(LCs)是物体亮度随时间的变化,蕴含形状、姿态和旋转状态等信息。自2015年起,格拉茨空间研究所(IWF)的卫星激光测距组构建了基于单光子探测的空间碎片亮度曲线目录。与传统CCD测量不同,该数据为单光子级采集。近年来,机器学习(ML)模型在分析亮度曲线方面展现出潜力。本文旨在基于机器学习框架对单光子空间碎片亮度曲线进行分类。我们比较了k-近邻(k-NN)、随机森林(RDF)、XGBoost(XGB)及卷积神经网络(CNN)四类分类器的性能,评估传统模型与深度模型差异。为避免直接处理原始数据,我们采用自动化特征提取流程。实验涵盖三类任务:个体碎片分类、按来源分组(如GLONASS卫星)、按通用类型分组(如火箭体)。成功实现了单光子空间碎片亮度曲线的分类,最高准确率达到90.7%。进一步实验表明,使用自动化提取特征的分类器优于其他方法。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
The growing number of man-made debris in Earth's orbit poses a threat to active satellite missions due to the risk of collision. Characterizing unknown debris is, therefore, of high interest. Light Curves (LCs) are temporal variations of object brightness and have been shown to contain information such as shape, attitude, and rotational state. Since 2015, the Satellite Laser Ranging (SLR) group of Space Research Institute (IWF) Graz has been building a space debris LC catalogue. The LCs are captured on a Single Photon basis, which sets them apart from CCD-based measurements. In recent years, Machine Learning (ML) models have emerged as a viable technique for analyzing LCs. This work aims to classify Single Photon Space Debris using the ML framework. We have explored LC classification using k-Nearest Neighbour (k-NN), Random Forest (RDF), XGBoost (XGB), and Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) classifiers in order to assess the difference in performance between traditional and deep models. Instead of performing classification on the direct LCs data, we extracted features from the data first using an automated pipeline. We apply our models on three tasks, which are classifying individual objects, objects grouped into families according to origin (e.g., GLONASS satellites), and grouping into general types (e.g., rocket bodies). We successfully classified Space Debris LCs captured on Single Photon basis, obtaining accuracies as high as 90.7%. Further, our experiments show that the classifiers provide better classification accuracy with automated extracted features than other methods.
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