arXiv:2411.19763cs.LGcs.AI2024-11被引 2

用深度学习+注意力机制,提升外汇价格预测准确率。

Forecasting Foreign Exchange Market Prices Using Technical Indicators with Deep Learning and Attention Mechanism

  • 融合技术指标与LSTM-CNN并行结构提取特征
  • 在多货币对上优于基准模型,提升预测性能
  • 适合金融量化研究者和交易系统开发者

准确预测外汇市场价格行为至关重要。本文提出一种新方法,结合技术指标与深度神经网络。架构包含长短期记忆网络(LSTM)和卷积神经网络(CNN),以及注意力机制。首先,利用趋势与震荡类技术指标从外汇货币对数据中提取统计特征,揭示价格趋势、市场波动性、相对价格强度及超买超卖状态。随后,LSTM与CNN并行处理,分别捕捉长期依赖关系与局部模式。两者的输出经由注意力机制加权,学习各特征与时间依赖的重要性,生成上下文感知的输入表示。该加权输出用于预测未来价格走势,使模型聚焦关键信息。在多个外汇货币对上的综合评估表明,所提方法有效提升价格行为预测能力,优于基准模型。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Accurate prediction of price behavior in the foreign exchange market is crucial. This paper proposes a novel approach that leverages technical indicators and deep neural networks. The proposed architecture consists of a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), and attention mechanism. Initially, trend and oscillation technical indicators are employed to extract statistical features from Forex currency pair data, providing insights into price trends, market volatility, relative price strength, and overbought and oversold conditions. Subsequently, the LSTM and CNN networks are utilized in parallel to predict future price movements, leveraging the strengths of both recurrent and convolutional architectures. The LSTM network captures long-term dependencies and temporal patterns in the data, while the CNN network extracts local patterns. The outputs of the parallel LSTM and CNN networks are then fed into an attention mechanism, which learns to weigh the importance of each feature and temporal dependency, generating a context-aware representation of the input data. The attention-weighted output is then used to predict future price movements, enabling the model to focus on the most relevant features and temporal dependencies. Through a comprehensive evaluation of the proposed approach on multiple Forex currency pairs, we demonstrate its effectiveness in predicting price behavior and outperforming benchmark models.

外汇预测深度学习注意力机制技术指标

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